Liberal Forum

nefarious101 » 15 Jan 2026, 10:56 am » wrote: ↑

15 Jan 2026, 10:56 am

Don't be caught with your pants down.....

nothing like making bad decisions in life...especially when you are so sure it's coming

position yourself as it is coming

but take advantage of all the mistakes the morons, idiots and dickheads will make along the way..

SOXS is going to bottom soon...lots of stocks need to finish their "Adam and Eve" tops before the crash...

Looking at META and ORCL to begin their "Eve" pattern

LowIQTrash » 16 Jan 2026, 10:21 am » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 10:21 am

I just want to know why recessions in the past led to falling prices of consumer durables and perishables...before I was born...and now they barely make a dent

Those J O O S must be printing a lot of money and putting it into their pockets!

My guess, the increase in wealth gap.

As long as the top 20% keep buying, no need to lower prices.
 

LowIQTrash » 16 Jan 2026, 10:30 am » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 10:30 am

SOXS is going to bottom soon...lots of stocks need to finish their "Adam and Eve" tops before the crash...

Looking at META and ORCL to begin their "Eve" pattern

AISP is now in government money...another ONDS type stock

mining and rare earths are rocking and rolling

great time to make some money

and silver is king....long live the king

nefarious101 » 16 Jan 2026, 11:36 am » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 11:36 am

AISP is now in government money...another ONDS type stock

mining and rare earths are rocking and rolling

great time to make some money

and silver is king....long live the king

Some Bitcoin miners like MARA look oversold as well...

Overall I expect a very sharp move down once these risky asset groups finish their sequence

LowIQTrash » 16 Jan 2026, 11:41 am » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 11:41 am

Some Bitcoin miners like MARA look oversold as well...

Overall I expect a very sharp move down once these risky asset groups finish their sequence

Been checking the dark pool using the "most unusual" trades for most of my recent bets trying to stay within a 60-90 day time frame

Recently 7 of 8 in the green on short term deals

did some calls on OII yesterday.....dropped to a dime so I loaded up for a double by the end of the day

Someone who evidently knew something brought big...a very unusual trade, so I jump in too...didn't think it would pop that quick tho....going back in for more now...if the price is right



 

nefarious101 » 16 Jan 2026, 12:01 pm » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 12:01 pm

Been checking the dark pool using the "most unusual" trades for most of my recent bets trying to stay within a 60-90 day time frame

Recently 7 of 8 in the green on short term deals

did some calls on OII yesterday.....dropped to a dime so I loaded up for a double by the end of the day

Someone who evidently knew something brought big...a very unusual trade, so I jump in too...didn't think it would pop that quick tho....going back in for more now...if the price is right

I used to be part of a private Discord group that posted dark pools, unusual flow, etc. but I just rely on pure TA / intuition now. 

Often times the whales just follow each other and get bagged. I tried following whales and ended up breaking even after 10 trades so I decided my efforts were better spent just doing the homework myself.

As for time frame, the best trades since the beginning of the 2023 bull market have all required 1 yr+ holds (Rigetti, AST Spacemobile, Applovin, Palantir Technologies, Robinhood, Oklo, and many more) which I unfortunately failed to capitalize on as my holding periods were too short. 

Trust the TA but hold for longer...that's th3 #1 lesson since I started trading in 2024. I would be close to retirement if I did that instead of humming along with "beating the market by a large margin but not amazing" results.

However, 60-90 days is the right play in this environment as the "bull market" is on its last sprint.

nefarious101 » 16 Jan 2026, 12:01 pm » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 12:01 pm

Been checking the dark pool using the "most unusual" trades for most of my recent bets trying to stay within a 60-90 day time frame

Recently 7 of 8 in the green on short term deals

did some calls on OII yesterday.....dropped to a dime so I loaded up for a double by the end of the day

Someone who evidently knew something brought big...a very unusual trade, so I jump in too...didn't think it would pop that quick tho....going back in for more now...if the price is right

And final note...since you are obviously experienced at this...

I believe Cipher Mining should top somewhere in the 34-40 range before it begins a massive drawdown. Lots of consolidation time and I'm using a 2 - 2.272 Extension of the recent upward pattern

Fuelman » 16 Jan 2026, 10:35 am » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 10:35 am

My guess, the increase in wealth gap.

As long as the top 20% keep buying, no need to lower prices.
 

There is less than 20% of the human global population that lives in the western hemisphere of this planet north and south of the equator. 88% of global population lives in the northern hemisphere between international dateline and Greenwich Prime Meridian.

Just did a google question about most populated continent in this atmosphere,

Continents by population : The most populated continent by far is Asia, home to over 4.8 billion people (about 60% of the world's total), followed by Africa, then Europe, North America, South America, and finally Oceania, with Antarctica having no permanent residents. Asia contains the world's most populous countries, India and China, and has vast, fertile regions ideal for large populations.

Anyone care to guess why democracy never succeeded in history up to current events. Dictatorships only last a generation gap or two, democracies can last 3 up to about 10 or so generation gaps before imploding.

Why. people believing genetic outcomes aren't alive as eternally separated now never find the universal balance point of equally alive in any intellectual reality governing by character counts cradle to grave.

LowIQTrash » 16 Jan 2026, 10:21 am » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 10:21 am

I just want to know why recessions in the past led to falling prices of consumer durables and perishables...before I was born...and now they barely make a dent

Those J O O S must be printing a lot of money and putting it into their pockets!

Go on Print the Money we're done.. whoo whooo whoo!
When Steve Miller was a cool guy.

This is the economic prnciple that shocked me in 2025.  I always knew creating currency from air was bad.  I guess I kept blinders on for 40 years and just thought people knew not to do it.


The B-52's - Legal Tender (Official Music Video)..   

OuchTeeTeePeeEssssssssshslashslashcolon


youtu.be/mBRr_TqLDf4?si=Z11gb-TEi9776F2i

LowIQTrash » 16 Jan 2026, 1:01 pm » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 1:01 pm

And final note...since you are obviously experienced at this...

I believe Cipher Mining should top somewhere in the 34-40 range before it begins a massive drawdown. Lots of consolidation time and I'm using a 2 - 2.272 Extension of the recent upward pattern

The resistance is at $20--where market makers start selling
Support is at $16.50--where market makers start buying

If you close above $20 it could go on a run but there are sellers up until you hit around $25.61(+/_)

if it close above resistance on high volume     I might take a bite then too

yep...consolidating upward toward resistance 

there is a **** ton of options trading on it in the last 24 hours...no sure what normal is for them

a big 1.8 million on $35 call for 5-18-26
and a big 1.5 million on $25 call for 1-15-27

LowIQTrash » 16 Jan 2026, 12:57 pm » wrote: ↑

16 Jan 2026, 12:57 pm

I used to be part of a private Discord group that posted dark pools, unusual flow, etc. but I just rely on pure TA / intuition now. 

Often times the whales just follow each other and get bagged. I tried following whales and ended up breaking even after 10 trades so I decided my efforts were better spent just doing the homework myself.

As for time frame, the best trades since the beginning of the 2023 bull market have all required 1 yr+ holds (Rigetti, AST Spacemobile, Applovin, Palantir Technologies, Robinhood, Oklo, and many more) which I unfortunately failed to capitalize on as my holding periods were too short. 

Trust the TA but hold for longer...that's th3 #1 lesson since I started trading in 2024. I would be close to retirement if I did that instead of humming along with "beating the market by a large margin but not amazing" results.

However, 60-90 days is the right play in this environment as the "bull market" is on its last sprint.

yeah....in on PLTR at IPO sold....got back when it crashed...holding ever since

sell a couple of shares when I want a nice piece of equipment to play with...sold all NVDA and SOFI tho