Liberal Forum

Zeets2 » Today, 11:34 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 11:34 am

In my opinion, the smartest Democrats are looking at the mess that liberals have made of Europe with massive riots in Paris, Muslims praying in the streets and destroying churches and synagogues being firebombed in Germany and the UK after electing Muslims to key government positions and they know that the same thing will happen here shortly if Democrat Socialist get a foothold here in the US.  It's already clear how anti-Semitism has spread through NY under African Muslim Mamdani and Minnesota's Muslim AG Ellison and Somali criminals like Ilan Omar, and are becoming fearful of how fast they're spreading.

And most understand that high gas prices are temporary, and will be easily offset with the $5,000 dividend check that Trump has promised for every adult American if Republicans hold Congress.  That alone will sway many voters to come out this year where they haven't for prior midterm elections.

There are no "smart" ****. The FACT they are **** is the clue that you need to understand that you aren't very smart if you ARE one.

PERIOD!!

 

Huey » Today, 10:10 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 10:10 am

I don't expect a blue wave but would be surprised if the left did not pick up a few seats.

I agree. Historically, that always happens. I expect the worst but hope for the best. The forum leftoids will act as if they are geniuses if they win the house and senate. "ToLd yOu So. DuuUuUuRrrRr".

History says the incumbent will lose some power. That's just how it goes. 

SouthernFried » Yesterday, 6:03 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 6:03 pm

I agree. Historically, that always happens. I expect the worst but hope for the best. The forum leftoids will act as if they are geniuses if they win the house and senate. "ToLd yOu So. DuuUuUuRrrRr".

History says the incumbent will lose some power. That's just how it goes.

It’s all we can do…

ROG62 » Yesterday, 5:19 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 5:19 pm

It’s a sad day for this republic…
 

Not just this Republic. This species as a whole divided by realities.

sole » Yesterday, 11:57 am » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 11:57 am

Where does corruption come from? Historical norms.

Just googled this question; How many registered voters voted in 2024?
this is what I got and see if you can see the flaw with humanity's accounting of people daily alive. 154 million ancestors decided what the other 180 million will obey by rule of law. Now between the two major party lines that ends up being less than 80 million from both parties. I am so tired of misleading percentage comparisons as those kind of facts never explain actual time evolving individually alive in series parallel positions daily here.

APRIL 30, 2025 — In the 2024 presidential election, 73.6% (or 174 million people) of the citizen voting-age population was registered to vote and 65.3% (or 154 million people) voted according to new voting and registration tables released today by the U.S. Census Bureau. These data come from the 2024 Current Population Survey (CPS) Voting and Registration Supplement for the November 2024 presidential election, which surveyed the civilian noninstitutionalized population in the United States.

The table package shows patterns of voter turnout by race, Hispanic origin, age and other characteristics such as educational attainment and family income.

The table package shows patterns of voter turnout by race, Hispanic origin, age and other characteristics such as educational attainment and family income.

Highlights:
63.7% of men voted, compared to 66.9% of women.
Voter turnout varied by educational attainment with 82.5% of those with an advanced degree voting, compared to 77.2% of bachelor’s degree holders and 52.5% of high school graduates.

Voting methods also varied, with 39.6% of people voting in person on Election Day, 30.7% voting in person before Election Day, and 29.0% voting by mail.
The Census Bureau has collected voting and registration data since 1964 and has fielded the Voting and Registration Supplement to the CPS every two years.

This survey is the most comprehensive data source available on the social and demographic composition of the electorate in federal elections. Examining these characteristics and how they have changed over the years provides a better understanding of the social and demographic characteristics of American voters.

For more information on methodology, confidentiality protection, sampling and nonsampling error, and definitions, refer to https://www2.census.gov/programs-survey ... snov24.pdf.

The estimates presented in this table package may differ from those based on administrative data or exit polls due to factors such as survey nonresponse, vote misreporting and methodological issues related to question wording and survey administration.

Humanity evolves highlights just as an election is voter IDed to hair highlights.

Lisa 558 » 11 minutes ago » wrote: ↑

11 minutes ago

Humanity evolves highlights just as an election is voter IDed to hair highlights.

**** response.

How is the Michigan senate race even close?

Beekeeper » Yesterday, 5:39 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 5:39 pm

There are no "smart" ****. The FACT they are **** is the clue that you need to understand that you aren't very smart if you ARE one.

PERIOD!!

OK Bee, I can live with that correction.
Perhaps I should have phrased it instead by saying, "those Democrats WHO THINK they are the smartest ones".

Because there's no doubt they all believe they are, despite the fact the the vast majority of them live in the most liberal Democrat cities which all provide the worst public school education levels in the country!
 

With a little luck, the polls are still full of ****!

Nate Silver new prediction:

The Democratic Party continues to gain momentum in its bid to take control of Congress in the upcoming midterm elections, according to a prominent election forecast.

The Silver Bulletin's FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast gives the party a 73.9 percent chance of winning the Senate as of Tuesday, up noticeably from 50.6 percent a month prior.

For the House, Democrats have a 92.9 percent chance of winning the chamber, according to the forecast, compared with an 82.7 percent chance last month.

Zeets2 » Today, 10:47 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 10:47 am

OK Bee, I can live with that correction.
Perhaps I should have phrased it instead by saying, "those Democrats WHO THINK they are the smartest ones".

Because there's no doubt they all believe they are, despite the fact the the vast majority of them live in the most liberal Democrat cities which all provide the worst public school education levels in the country!

     

         

Fuelman » Today, 11:03 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 11:03 am

With a little luck, the polls are still full of ****!

Nate Silver new prediction:

The Democratic Party continues to gain momentum in its bid to take control of Congress in the upcoming midterm elections, according to a prominent election forecast.

The Silver Bulletin's FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast gives the party a 73.9 percent chance of winning the Senate as of Tuesday, up noticeably from 50.6 percent a month prior.

For the House, Democrats have a 92.9 percent chance of winning the chamber, according to the forecast, compared with an 82.7 percent chance last month.

Up until the last few election cycles, Nate’s been spot on…
 

ROG62 » Today, 12:57 pm » wrote: ↑

Today, 12:57 pm

Up until the last few election cycles, Nate’s been spot on…

Some interesting information on current hurdles to accurate polling:2. Partisan and "Herding" Manipulation • Selective Releasing: Partisan groups or campaigns frequently commission private polls. If a poll shows their candidate losing, they bury it; if it shows them winning, they release it to the media. This artificially floods the media ecosystem with favorable numbers.
 • Herding: Near the end of an election cycle, some low-tier pollsters tweak their models to align with the industry average. They do this because they fear the reputational damage of being a public outlier, effectively destroying the independence of their data. 3. Outright Fabrication and Scams The polling ecosystem faces direct security threats that actively compromise data integrity:
 • Fabricated Polls: Bad actors have successfully introduced entirely fake numbers into mainstream politics. For example, a mysterious entity called Median Strategies published entirely fabricated election polls across multiple states. The fake data was amplified by major campaigns and temporarily shifted prices on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi before being retracted.
 • AI Bot Infiltration: According to research published by Dartmouth University, autonomous AI bots have become sophisticated enough to bypass 99.8% of standard fraud-detection checks on online polls. The study demonstrated that it takes as few as 10 to 52 synthetic AI respondents to completely flip the leader in a close election poll.