Vegas » 22 Nov 2022, 6:09 pm » wrote: ↑
22 Nov 2022, 6:09 pmRead all of this you piece of ****. Not just 5 words.Blackvegetable » 22 Nov 2022, 3:37 pm » wrote: ↑
22 Nov 2022, 3:37 pm
Yes.....that's why the conclusion of the sample of Republicans and conservatives is less reliable than the conclusion of the entire population surveyed.
Acknowledge that you've been answered.....again.
@Blackvegetable on another note, you are making a "survivorship bias" fallacy. And **** you if you think I am going to define that for you.
Like I said, I am not your mother. Look it up.
You are focusing on the insufficiency of the Republican sample, while over looking the obvious systematic favoring of the dimocrat sample. Then, in all of your wisdom, you think that should be narrowed to a just a republican population as unreliable, when the population included the dims, repubs, and independents. You can't **** cherry pick the population of one over the other. That's the whole point of accurate sampling.
Acknowledge that you are dumb as hell.
Blackvegetable » 22 Nov 2022, 6:20 pm » wrote: ↑
22 Nov 2022, 6:20 pmIt's exactly because I do know that I know you are a **** moron.Vegas » 22 Nov 2022, 6:17 pm » wrote: ↑
22 Nov 2022, 6:17 pm
Yeah, I didn't expect you to know what that was.
Nor did I expect you to look it up.
Acknowledge that you lied again.
Presidents don't drop out of the rankings because they die.
**** idiot.
A denier has full faith nobody can prove or disprove any or all realit/y/ies using the facts allowed in a court of law. Intellectual minds demand being physically removed for the optics of becoming the victim of circumstance and nobody knows the specifics to eternal separation of current population socially, statistically, scientifically, or spiritually.Vegas » 29 Nov 2022, 3:09 pm » wrote: ↑ To give some backstory here, I was exposing Veghead's stupid article about his usual presidential rankings. He was using a fallacy that is called "survivorship bias." Now, I don't expect people to know offhand what that means. However, given how much Veghead brags that he has superior aptitude in stats...and math in general, there was no need for me to define the fallacy. He should already know since it's a common term in stats. So, what did he think it meant? He took it literally and thought it meant dead presidents. LOL! The bolded quote at the end proves how intellectually superior he is. :rofl:
I am left with no choice, but to publicly embarrass him.
I will never let you live this gem down.
Survivorship bias = dead presidents. :rofl:
omh » 29 Nov 2022, 3:15 pm » wrote: ↑ A denier has full faith nobody can prove or disprove any or all realit/y/ies using the facts allowed in a court of law.
everyone knows facts have to be in context, not ancestral evolving positions like specific reproductions are in plain sight. Reality protects character wannabe with reasonable doubt anything is possible when nobody knows everything about genetic self containment per ancestor occupying space now.Vegas » 29 Nov 2022, 3:15 pm » wrote: ↑ He wouldn't know a fact if it bent him over a hot stove and raw **** him in the ***.
I don't think you know the real reason as to why people ignore your posts.omh » 29 Nov 2022, 3:21 pm » wrote: ↑
I even explain compounding DNA and everyone just ignores it when I explain
accept what I say and each has to admit their entire ancestry enabled the corruption governing this species since dawn of civilization, that 6,000 year benchmark of humanity took over the natural living process using vernacular tribalism.Vegas » 29 Nov 2022, 3:22 pm » wrote: ↑ I don't think you know the real reason as to why people ignore your posts.
Now to humiliate the Narcissist...Vegas » 29 Nov 2022, 3:09 pm » wrote: ↑ To give some backstory here, I was exposing Veghead's stupid article about his usual presidential rankings. He was using a fallacy that is called "survivorship bias." Now, I don't expect people to know offhand what that means. However, given how much Veghead brags that he has superior aptitude in stats...and math in general, there was no need for me to define the fallacy. He should already know since it's a common term in stats. So, what did he think it meant? He took it literally and thought it meant dead presidents. LOL! The bolded quote at the end proves how intellectually superior he is.![]()
I am left with no choice, but to publicly embarrass him.
@Blackvegetable I will never let you live this gem down.
Survivorship bias = dead presidents.
Somewhere there is a old joke wrapped up in your comment, Guy goes to the doctor and says "it hurts when I raise my arms above my head.", and the doctor says "Don't raise your arms above your head.". Charges him $50 buck for the office visit.Blackvegetable » 29 Nov 2022, 5:32 pm » wrote: ↑ The most famous example of survivorship bias dates back to World War Two. At the time, the American military asked mathematician Abraham Wald to study how best to protect airplanes from being shot down. The military knew armour would help, but couldn’t protect the whole plane or would be too heavy to fly well. Initially, their plan had been to examine the planes returning from combat, see where they were hit the worst – the wings, around the tail gunner and down the centre of the body – and then reinforce those areas.
But Wald realised they had fallen prey to survivorship bias, because their analysis was missing a valuable part of the picture: the planes that were hit but that hadn’t made it back. As a result, the military were planning to armour precisely the wrong parts of the planes. The bullet holes they were looking at actually indicated the areas a plane could be hit and keep flying – exactly the areas that didn't need reinforcing.
https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20 ... e-mistakes
Stapled shut.omh » 29 Nov 2022, 5:39 pm » wrote: ↑ Somewhere there is a old joke wrapped up in your comment, Guy goes to the doctor and says "it hurts when I raise my arms above my head.", and the doctor says "Don't raise your arms above your head.". Charges him $50 buck for the office visit.
Yer thread triggered Bv.Vegas » 29 Nov 2022, 3:09 pm » wrote: ↑ To give some backstory here, I was exposing Veghead's stupid article about his usual presidential rankings. He was using a fallacy that is called "survivorship bias." Now, I don't expect people to know offhand what that means. However, given how much Veghead brags that he has superior aptitude in stats...and math in general, there was no need for me to define the fallacy. He should already know since it's a common term in stats. So, what did he think it meant? He took it literally and thought it meant dead presidents. LOL! The bolded quote at the end proves how intellectually superior he is.![]()
I am left with no choice, but to publicly embarrass him.
@Blackvegetable I will never let you live this gem down.
Survivorship bias = dead presidents.
:rofl: keep :die: :die: reading :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: .....
However, given how much Veghead brags that he has superior aptitude in stats...and math in general, there was no need for me to define the fallacy. He should already know since it's a common term in stats. So, what did he think it meant? He took it literally and thought it meant dead presidents. LOL! The bolded quote at the end proves how intellectually superior he is.![]()