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johndnorth » 06 Aug 2023, 9:19 pm » wrote: ↑
If winning is restoring all land occupied by Russia after Feb.24, 2022 Ukraine is going to lose. Attrition is going to deplete Ukraine. Putin will mobilize more men than Ukraine can possibly handle. Putin is doing some ethnic cleansing as he is conscripting from areas all over Russia. Prisons are being emptied of criminals who will sign a contract with the army. These men are given little to no training and sent to the line. Russia has been digging in since the fall of Kherson. Fortifications, trenches, and hundreds of thousands of mines have been laid. The Ukraine counter offensive is advancing at a very slow pace because of defensive obstacles. Russians keep withdrawing to the next defensive line as they wear down a finite number of Ukrainian soldiers. The slow Ukrainian advance is to save as many men as possible. The Ukrainian strategy at the moment is to destroy Russian logistics. Russian supplies are being stopped to a certain degree but Putin has an almost endless supply of ammo and equipment. I understand that T-62s and other ancient equipment is being sent to the front. That will not matter in the long run. Ukraine will be worn out before Putin is. Russia will pay a heavy price for their adventure but Putin does not care.
You’ve been researching the war. Bravo.
But consider this. For 70 years the Soviets had the most notoriously inefficient economic system on earth.
Yet look at all it accomplished. They beat the Nazis, although they lost maybe 20 million people doing it. They developed hydrogen bombs and ICBMS and fighter jets and all kinds of warlike technology but could never quite master making a good ball point pen or a tasty cigarette.
Russia has traded one czar for another czar for hundreds of years and now Putin is the czar of the most corrupt super power on the planet.
Russians don’t get humiliated like we would be humiliated.
Putin knows that very long range, over four hundred miles, cruise missiles are being sent against Moscow, and sophisticated sea drones are sinking billion dollar war ships and putting huge holes in empty tankers and long range cruise missiles are hitting empty skyscrapers in Moscow.
Putin lives in a palace you can spot on Google Earth. His girlfriend is a young gymnast that looks like a centerfold and he can have as many more like her as he pleases.
He can declare victory any day he wants a promise from Ukraine not to invade Mother Russia, and bring the boys home for a victory parade in Red Square.