Uhhhhhhh, Hole?
By Blackvegetable
16 Jun 2025 7:59 am in No Holds Barred Political Forum
16 Jun 2025 7:51 pm
Either A, B, C, or D.Blackvegetable » 16 Jun 2025, 7:59 am » wrote: ↑ As 2025 began, the stars were aligning for a housing market rebound.
Inflation was easing, the economy looked strong and mortgage rates were drifting downward. By April, there were more available homes to buy than at any time since January 2020, according to the Federal Reserve of St. Louis. The conditions were ripe for buyers to re-emerge, checkbooks in hands, and sellers to negotiate.
Then on April 2, President Trump rolled out his expansive global trade tariffs, shocking the stock and bond markets and sparking fears of a recession. Mortgage rates jumped again, hitting 6.89 percent for a 30-year fixed-rate loan on May 29, their highest level since early February. The extreme volatility threw cold water on a fragile market. Buyers bailed out.
“There isn’t any urgency to buying right now — if anything it feels more risky to put a down payment into a home when you might not have a job six months from now,” said Daryl Fairweather, the chief economist of Redfin.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/02/real ... roid-share
MAGAts,
The lesson here is
NEVER SPECIFY PERFORMANCE MEASURES....STICK TO SLOGANS AND QUALIFYING ADJECTIVES...
Move your heads up and down...
Let me break this down for your dumb ***. You see the 4 options to the question? Every option includes your definition, but only one is an example of survivorship bias. Your definition was half assed. Like all of your content.
orWhen a sample fails to reflect "mortality" in the population being examined.
Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?"Sampling error"
A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors
Blackvegatble's hypcorisy summed up in one post:
[/size]
Blackvegetable » 7 minutes ago » wrote: ↑7 minutes ago
Very simple questions...
From which you are running...
Blackvegetable » 7 minutes ago » wrote: ↑7 minutes ago
Very simple questions...
From which you are running...
17 Jun 2025 6:21 am
Get breaking.Vegas » 16 Jun 2025, 7:51 pm » wrote: ↑ Either A, B, C, or D.
Let me break this down for you
To give some backstory here, I was exposing Veghead's stupid article about his usual presidential rankings. He was using a fallacy that is called "survivorship bias." Now, I don't expect people to know offhand what that means. However, given how much Veghead brags that he has superior aptitude in stats...and math in general, there was no need for me to define the fallacy. He should already know since it's a common term in stats. So, what did he think it meant? He took it literally and thought it meant dead presidents. LOL! The bolded quote at the end proves how intellectually superior he is. Image
I am left with no choice, but to publicly embarrass him.
@Blackvegetable I will never let you live this gem down.
17 Jun 2025 8:32 am
17 Jun 2025 8:44 am
Location, location, location!ROG62 » 16 Jun 2025, 3:36 pm » wrote: ↑ real estate is subjective...and pricing is always the key...plus borrowed monies for materials, labor, etc garners interest...
as they say, to one person it's a treasure and to another, it's junk....
I delivered mail up a really long peninsula between 2 beautiful lakes...a quaint 40's cabin became available...mebbe 5-600 sq' with a single tuck under garage... I had some interest and looked it up...it was listed for $750k... I scoffed thinking no friggin way...the following week I went up there and it was sold...
another property came up...70's box way off the lake with a couple of nice places in front between water and cabin...I looked it up, $400k w/ 20' lakeshore...that's not a typo...20'...
I guess it's what real estate agents are for...
@Fuelman ...I added more...
I flew into the Twin Cities as a teenager, lakes and ponds for as far as the eye can see. Looked like a water playground!
17 Jun 2025 9:06 am
Tell @*VegasVagina to stop running.
17 Jun 2025 9:18 am
You think Bv's pissed off, check out Biden's golf pro teacher. lolnefarious101 » 16 Jun 2025, 8:33 am » wrote: ↑ BV the Dairy Queer Dickhead having another Trump Deranged episode.
Here Dairy Queer Dickhead.....got any new breaking Fake news about your Russia Russia Russia Hoax?
how about giving us your Pedo=Progressive democrat poll numbers?
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/5Fcr9gU6JcY
17 Jun 2025 9:22 am
Blackvegetable » 16 Jun 2025, 4:52 pm » wrote: ↑ Did you cast a 3rd proud vote for 2XWorse than Buchanan?
No way was I voting for Kamalahaha. She said there wasn’t one thing she would have done differently than plugs, really? She couldn’t cum up with one thang to do differently?
17 Jun 2025 9:23 am
Not sure about illegals but the Hispanics did the concrete, wrap house and stucco, shingles, and drywall. The rest of the crews were mainly white.*GHETTOBLASTER » 16 Jun 2025, 5:22 pm » wrote: ↑ How many Illegal Aliens were involved during construction...?
17 Jun 2025 9:24 am
roadkill » 17 Jun 2025, 9:18 am » wrote: ↑ You think Bv's pissed off, check out Biden's golf pro teacher. lol
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/5Fcr9gU6JcY
That’s a free lift cmon man
17 Jun 2025 9:25 am
ANSWER THE QUESTION ASKEDBuckNaked » 17 Jun 2025, 9:22 am » wrote: ↑ No way was I voting for Kamalahaha. She said there wasn’t one thing she would have done differently than plugs, really? She couldn’t cum up with one thang to do differently?
17 Jun 2025 9:25 am
what is the question?
17 Jun 2025 9:30 am
Hey...I said he's Biden's golf teacher.
17 Jun 2025 9:35 am
Hmm, Zillow predicts a 3.6% increase this year in my area.
Or you could believe some dip **** economist from Redfin.
I remain optimistic.
Or you could believe some dip **** economist from Redfin.
I remain optimistic.
17 Jun 2025 10:41 am
What a dick move. Particularly when he is entitled to a free drop under the standing water rule.roadkill » 17 Jun 2025, 9:18 am » wrote: ↑You think Bv's pissed off, check out Biden's golf pro teacher. lolnefarious101 » 16 Jun 2025, 8:33 am » wrote: ↑ BV the Dairy Queer Dickhead having another Trump Deranged episode.
Here Dairy Queer Dickhead.....got any new breaking Fake news about your Russia Russia Russia Hoax?
how about giving us your Pedo=Progressive democrat poll numbers?
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/5Fcr9gU6JcY
BV is in question time out indefinitely, until he takes the pledge to answer questions one for one.
The Pledge viewtopic.php?f=3&t=100927
Popular Vote Totals 2024 viewtopic.php?p=2685476#p2685476
BV's Sporter Losshttps: viewtopic.php?p=2610828#p2610828
BV 33 miles: viewtopic.php?p=2747521#p2747521
Sources viewtopic.php?p=2589152#p2589152
The Pledge viewtopic.php?f=3&t=100927
Popular Vote Totals 2024 viewtopic.php?p=2685476#p2685476
BV's Sporter Losshttps: viewtopic.php?p=2610828#p2610828
BV 33 miles: viewtopic.php?p=2747521#p2747521
Sources viewtopic.php?p=2589152#p2589152
17 Jun 2025 10:44 am
What makes him a "dip ****"?Fuelman » 17 Jun 2025, 9:35 am » wrote: ↑ Hmm, Zillow predicts a 3.6% increase this year in my area.
Or you could believe some dip **** economist from Redfin.
I remain optimistic.
17 Jun 2025 11:03 am
Not sure, but I think he and his buddies had their own rule that day where they had to play the ball where it lies.*Huey » 17 Jun 2025, 10:41 am » wrote: ↑ What a dick move. Particularly when he is entitled to a free drop under the standing water rule.
17 Jun 2025 11:07 am
His statement! If you can't find the stupid in his statement, you are beyond stupid!
Your OP also didn't mention the average mortgage rates in 2024, convenient.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage in 2024 was around 6.73% according to LendingTree, with fluctuations throughout the year, including a low of 6.08% and a high of 7.22%. Other sources show the average for 2024 as 6.72%. These figures represent the average for the entire year, and rates varied week to week.
17 Jun 2025 11:20 am
Either A, B, C, or D.
Let me break this down for your dumb ***. You see the 4 options to the question? Every option includes your definition, but only one is an example of survivorship bias. Your definition was half assed. Like all of your content.
orWhen a sample fails to reflect "mortality" in the population being examined.
Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?"Sampling error"
A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors
Blackvegatble's hypcorisy summed up in one post:
[/size]
Blackvegetable » 7 minutes ago » wrote: ↑7 minutes ago
Very simple questions...
From which you are running...
Blackvegetable » 7 minutes ago » wrote: ↑7 minutes ago
Very simple questions...
From which you are running...
17 Jun 2025 11:28 am
Of course....self explanatory....Fuelman » 17 Jun 2025, 11:07 am » wrote: ↑ His statement! If you can't find the stupid in his statement, you are beyond stupid!
Your OP also didn't mention the average mortgage rates in 2024, convenient.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage in 2024 was around 6.73% according to LendingTree, with fluctuations throughout the year, including a low of 6.08% and a high of 7.22%. Other sources show the average for 2024 as 6.72%. These figures represent the average for the entire year, and rates varied week to week.
What was I thinking?
What's the point of the 2024 rates?
17 Jun 2025 11:37 am
I'm not seeing any breaking...
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