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LibDave
12 Sep 2022 4:27 pm
12 Sep 2022 4:27 pm
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337 posts
Ukraine makes major advances in the North, East and SouthEast.

Many thousands of Russian soldiers are in danger of being cutoff. Russian soldiers are deserting their equipment and refusing to fight. Much of the deserted equipment is being seized and utilized by Ukraine. More equipment arriving for Ukraine from the West. West is modernizing Ukrainian army away from the Russian weapons it was supplied with at the outset of the invasion. Many Russian soldiers signing a refusal to fight protest document. Many of Russia's trained soldiers have suffered heavy casualties. Russian replacements are very poorly trained and motivated. Kherson will likely fall with a large number of Russians captured.

NATO forces quietly mobilizing on the northern NATO border. Belorussia and Northern Russia highly vulnerable due to shift of forces to Ukraine. Belorussia is especially ripe for annihilation.

Finland and Sweden to join NATO opening up a wide front providing NATO many viable alternatives.

Oil prices fall slightly.  Oil production in the US to rise rapidly.  Oil prices should fall by the Spring placing additional burdens on the Russian economy.  Europe pushing to maintain and even stiffen sanctions on Russia even well after the conflict ends whether Ukraine prevails are not.  Steps being made to make Russia a permanent pariah nation.
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