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Skans
24 Jun 2025 2:13 pm
24 Jun 2025 2:13 pm
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Blackvegetable » 24 Jun 2025, 11:43 am » wrote:
how do you get from EPS to "intrinsic value"?

 
There is no one way.  If the company actually has earnings, then start with a discounted cash flow model.  Make some assumptions about the discount rate/inflation, expenses, projected growth, product life cycles, etc. Depends on the entity.  If its a single McDonalds franchise with 5 years of data, you should be able to get this down to the nearest $1,000. 

If it is a startup company with no revenue, then EPS is irrelevant - you need to find some other way to model its value. 
If it is a young fast growing company with revenue but no earnings - similar - you will need to model this differently - likely based on revenue growth data you already have. 

What if its a Poke-Bowl franchise, being run by someone who's never been in the restaurant business, has infused $300,000 of capital into the venture, where she and her family members all work at the restaurant - showing barely break-even revenue/expenses, unable to pay back the 300K capital.  Does it have any "intrinsic value"?  If so, where is the value?  If not, then why not?
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