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GeorgeWashington
31 Jul 2020 4:41 pm
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Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote:
GeorgeWashington » 30 Jul 2020, 3:33 pm » wrote: Is your preferred news not reporting the 99% survival rate?
Let’s stick to scientific and medical sources.
I have posted only scientific and medical sources.  
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote: I’ll leave the selection of “preferred” news to those of you who have pledged fealty to the current president of the United States or Russia.
Are you putting yourself in the "pledged fealty to the current president of the United States or Russia" camp? 

After all, It was you that selected your preferred source and posted a link with the CFR being nearly 10%, while I merely called **** on the tinfoil hat scare mongering.  
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote:  John Hopkins published a Mortality chart which uses CFR. it corresponds with the earlier link I provided because it uses the same data.

Image
No, the link you posted earlier had the CFR at 9.92%, which is why I called it tinfoil hat fear mongering propoganda. See below:
Olivaw » 29 Jul 2020, 1:49 pm » wrote:
Mortality rate is 3.43%
Case Fatality Rate is 9.92%
https://www.covid19projections.com/projections/US

Please justify your figures. Bonus points if you identify the long term health problems associated with COVID-19.
 
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote: Will you now claim that John Hopkins is also fear mongering
I never claimed the CFR of 3.4% from JH was ****.  I called **** on your amateur tally which had it at 9.9%
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote:
or will you accept the truth?
Stop projecting. I have done nothing to call my character into question. Keep that bag of **** in your lap, thanks.
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote:
CFR is calculated by dividing deaths by the number of confirmed cases of the disease COVID-19.. It’s based on hard medical data.  It offers an expert a figure for the average persons odds of death after a confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis.
Wrong again. CFR cannot offer an expert a figure for the average person's odds of death after a confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis, because CFR does not include infenctions of average people.  It includes confirmed cases only, and we both know there are more cases than confirmed.   
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote: It’s currently 3.4% but an individuals odds depends on age, fitness, health care etc. Anyone who claims this metric to be **** betrays a poor understanding of it.
Ok.. is it 3.4% or 9.9%? Are you stepping back from your previous 9.9% propganda spew?
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote: IFR is calculated by dividing deaths by the estimated number of individuals infected by SARS-CoV-2. The number is lower because, as I assume you know,  some individuals are asymptomatic Uncertainty lies in estimating the number of infected individuals due to the shortcomings of past antibody tests and the factors mentioned above.
Did you know that flu infections are estimated to be 200x greater than confirmed numbers, and this estimate is what's given to the public and used by policy makers?  
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote: So which is right? I’d be willing to accept that the data may suggest that the odds of death are below 1% if one is asymptomatic but the odds are above 3% if one is diagnosed with COVID-19.
So far, nearly every study I have found has the IFR at <= 1%
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote: Ducky and Trump have yet to address the long term health effects on those who survive and the evidence (inconclusive) that immunity may be short lived.
SARS-COV-1 immunity lasts from 12-24 months. Why would you assume this is any different?
Olivaw » 30 Jul 2020, 9:23 pm » wrote: 150,000 dead Americans later and some people still refuse to accept the severity of the pandemic and wear a **** mask. 🙄
Ooooh. I get it now... Its ok to use blatantly false data(9.9% CFR) as long as it helps your agenda?  Set your integretiy aside for your political party?

 
 



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