17 Feb 2026 8:49 am
Looks to me like Gallup is trying to recover from a face plant!
Modern Challenges (2016–2020): The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) noted that 2020 polls, including major national polls, had the highest error rate in 40 years. Polls in both 2016 and 2020 tended to understate Republican (GOP) support.
Methodological Adjustments: Following these challenges, Gallup and other pollsters made significant changes to their polling, sampling, and interview procedures to improve accuracy.
Trust and Reliability: Despite errors in election, polling, and public opinion surveys remain widely used by leaders to measure trends, though they face declining trust from the public.
Overall, while Gallup remains a premier polling organization, the accuracy of its election predictions has faced scrutiny and required adjustments due to recent, significant polling errors in the 21st century.
Modern Challenges (2016–2020): The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) noted that 2020 polls, including major national polls, had the highest error rate in 40 years. Polls in both 2016 and 2020 tended to understate Republican (GOP) support.
Methodological Adjustments: Following these challenges, Gallup and other pollsters made significant changes to their polling, sampling, and interview procedures to improve accuracy.
Trust and Reliability: Despite errors in election, polling, and public opinion surveys remain widely used by leaders to measure trends, though they face declining trust from the public.
Overall, while Gallup remains a premier polling organization, the accuracy of its election predictions has faced scrutiny and required adjustments due to recent, significant polling errors in the 21st century.