Liberal Forum

LowIQTrash » 20 Oct 2024, 4:02 pm » wrote: ↑

20 Oct 2024, 4:02 pm

I am not voting November 2024, but nevertheless here is what I imagine could play out.

I believe “they” want tRumP in the WH to take the blame for the impending stock market crash beginning in late 2025 (-70% from top to bottom is likely) as well as economic meltdown.

This is why the DNC ran Kamala Harris, even though they could have run someone like Michelle Obama (who would easily win). 

Since tRumP has never shied away from YuGe spending, this is what I perceive his agenda would look like:

1. Begins legalizing marijuana (so MSOS calls can return 2000-4000%)

I will be scanning options flow every week after tRumP wins the election, and if there is one thing this Orange Conman can do that will make me sing his blessings, it’s precisely that. This will open the floodgates to 300-500% returns on shares and much higher on options.

2. In the beginning of 2025, likely in Feb-March, there will be a mini crash.

Lots of “bad news” and stats like rising unemployment, accelerating inflation numbers. etc. that were massaged / manipulated / hidden during the Biden administration will “mysteriously” resurface (“It’s all Trump’s fault” etc.) 

And while this is happening…


3. tRumP will demand, publicly and on TEEVEE, that the Fed cut rates down from 4.5% or wherever they are now to 2.0% or lower and unleash a YUGE stimulus program. (Lots of domestic spending)


The Fed will have no choice but to oblige since Trump (likely) has foreseen this outcome and they don’t want to take the blame for causing a recession prematurely.

Now, keeping this in mind, this will cause inflation to re-accelerate, but tRumP doesn’t care as he would rather have high inflation than a meltdown. 

(I will buy oil stock calls near the bottom as well - I don’t believe they have bottomed quite yet as usually there is “capitulation” selling before furious buying) 

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None of this will prevent the inevitable crash (Herbert Hoover Part 2?) but it will offer an asymmetric opportunity for 500% or more returns (for those with the risk appetite).

Just make sure you cash out before the crash.