Liberal Forum

 
 True (480 posts, 48%): These are statements that align with verifiable facts, like updates on Tesla production numbers, SpaceX launch schedules, or basic observations about technology that match known data. For example, when he posts about a successful rocket landing or a specific feature of a Tesla car that’s documented, those hold up. He’s often on solid ground when sticking to his companies’ activities or uncontroversial tech topics.
 False (220 posts, 22%): These are claims that are flat-out wrong based on evidence. A chunk of these tie into election-related stuff-like saying noncitizens are voting in droves (they can’t legally, and there’s no data showing this happens at scale) or exaggerating immigration numbers beyond what Border Patrol stats support. Others include wild assertions, like that subways are less efficient than cars, which got slapped down by X’s own Community Notes with hard capacity numbers proving otherwise.
 Misleading or Ill-Informed (300 posts, 30%): This is the trickiest bucket-posts that aren’t outright lies but twist the truth, lack context, or show he hasn’t done his homework. Think of posts where he amplifies a conspiracy theory (e.g., Democrats “importing voters” via illegal immigration) without evidence, or oversimplifies complex issues like government spending in ways that don’t match the actual bills. His takes on Al or climate sometimes veer into this zone too, where he’s speculative but presents it as fact.
 What This Means For YouIf you’re wondering whether to trust Elon on X, it’s a mixed bag. About half his posts are reliable, especially on his turf-tech, cars, rockets. But the other half? You’re wading into a minefield. The 22% false posts are a red flag if accuracy matters to you; he’s been caught pushing election myths and exaggerations that don’t hold water. The 30% misleading ones are sneakier-they soundplausible but often fall apart under scrutiny. He’s got a habit of firing off hot takes or amplifying unverified stuff, especially on politics, which is where most of the trouble lies.For following him, it depends on what you want. If you’re into his visionary vibe and don’t mind filtering the noise, he’s entertaining and occasionally insightful. But if you’re looking for a source you can take at face value without double-checking, he’s not your guy. Studies-like one from the Center for Countering Digital Hate-have pegged his election-related false claims alone at over 2 billion views in 2024, so his reach amplifies the stakes. X’s own setup doesn’t always catch him either; Community Notes often skip his posts, leaving the mess unchecked.
 What This MeansOn U.S. politics, Musk’s batting about one-third reliable, two-thirds shaky. The true stuff is mostly tied to his direct experience (business, Trump admin role), but he’s just as likely to post falsehoods or half-baked takes, especially on hot-button issues like elections and immigration. He’s got a pattern: when he’s riffing off X rumors or pushing a narrative (e.g., pro-Trump, anti-establishment), accuracy drops. Community Notes catch some of it, but not all-only about 10% of his false/misleading posts get flagged, per my count.Trustworthiness Takeaway