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Again, I have to drill you a new asshole with the facts!:
Issues
- Inspection Delays: In some cases, access to suspicious sites could take up to 24 days, which allow Iran to conceal activities.
- Trustworthiness of Iran: Skepticism remains regarding Iran's commitment to the deal, given its history of nuclear ambitions and regional destabilization efforts.
Conclusion
While the JCPOA included strong provisions to limit Iran's nuclear capabilities and enhance monitoring, ongoing concerns about compliance and the effectiveness of these measures suggest that the deal may not fully prevent Iran from attempting to cheat.
Why Is Obama Ignoring Iran Cheating on the Nuke Deal?
Newsweek Jul 13, 2016
The greatest danger in last year's nuclear deal, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), was always that Iran would cheat— seeking to move forward more quickly toward a nuclear weapon—and that Obama would be silent in the face of that cheating.This was always a reasonable prospect, given the history of arms control agreements. Those who negotiate such agreements wish to defend them. They do not wish to say that they were duped and that the deals must be considered null and void.
Last week, Germany's intelligence agency produced a
report detailing Iranian cheating. Here is an excerpt from the story:
Germany's domestic intelligence said that Iran has a "clandestine" effort to seek illicit nuclear technology and equipment from German companies "at what is a quantitatively high level."The findings by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution, Germany's equivalent of the FBI, were issued in a 317-page report last week. Chancellor Merkel underscored the findings in a statement to parliament, saying Iran violated the UN Security Council's anti-missile development regulations."Iran continued unabated to develop its rocket program in conflict with the provisions of the UN Security Council," Merkel told the Bundestag. The German report also stated "it is safe to expect that Iran will continue its intensive procurement activities in Germany using clandestine methods to achieve its objectives."
The Institute for Science and International Security has learned that Iran's Atomic Energy Organization recently made an attempt to purchase tons of controlled carbon fiber from a country.
This attempt thus raises concerns over whether Iran intends to abide by its JCPOA commitments. In particular, Iran may seek to stockpile the carbon fiber so as to be able to build advanced centrifuge rotors far beyond its current needs under the JCPOA, providing an advantage that would allow it to quickly build an advanced centrifuge enrichment plant if it chose to leave or disregard the JCPOA.
So Iran isn't only being more aggressive since signing the JCPOA, but is also cheating on the deal.
And the reaction from Obama and other cheerleaders for the JCPOA? Nothing.
John Kerry said, "Iran deserves the benefits of the agreement they struck." They do not deserve to be allowed to cheat.
When asked if Iran would "stick to the key terms of this deal for the next 20 years," Kerry said, "I have faith and confidence that we will know exactly what they're doing during that period of time. And if they decide to cheat, we will know it and there are options available to us. That I have complete faith and confidence in."
That's nice. But now we know they are cheating, and the option the administration has chosen is silence. Just ignore the problem.