Liberal Forum

Fuelman » 27 minutes ago » wrote: ↑

27 minutes ago

AI Slop back at ya:

does technical analysis of the S&P 500 say that it will drop to 1500 points in the next 20 years?    
     
    No credible technical analysis or mainstream market forecast says the S&P 500 will drop to 1500 points over the next 20 years.

 • Current Index Levels: The S&P 500 trades well above 7,500 points (hovering around 7,600 to 7,800+). A drop to 1500 would mean an 80% market collapse, which is not supported by standard technical charts or fundamental projections.

 • Secular Bear or Flat-Market Predictions: Some strategists, such as Mary Ann Bartels of Sanctuary Wealth, have projected that the market could enter a long-term "secular bear market" or a period of flat/near-zero returns in the 2030s after prior gains, potentially seeing the index trade in a wide band or consolidation zone rather than crashing back to 2012-era levels like 1500.

 • Long-Term Growth Projections: Most historical and long-term analytical models project that—barring an unprecedented global economic depression—the S&P 500 will continue to trend upward or compound over a 20-year horizon, with many estimates placing it significantly higher than today's levels.

 • Skepticism of Extreme Long-Range Charts: Technical analysis generally focuses on short-to-medium-term trends, support/resistance levels, and momentum indicators (such as moving averages and the MACD) rather than mapping a literal price target two decades into the future.

 

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