Liberal Forum

The chart above is from my Q1 2026 client call. It shows a huge post-pandemic surge that began slowing in 2022 to more normal (aka) sustainable levels.  


Then came April 2nd, 2025. We expect a substantial tax increase to cause some issues with hiring, but the haphazard, almost random way these were implemented was especially disruptive. We have not added any jobs since Liberation Day. Worse, the NY Times analysis found “Health care and social assistance accounted for virtually all private-sector job growth in 2025.”

https://ritholtz.com/2026/01/ieepa-tariffs-update/
 

Blackvegetable » 28 Jan 2026, 9:25 am » wrote: ↑

28 Jan 2026, 9:25 am

The chart above is from my Q1 2026 client call. It shows a huge post-pandemic surge that began slowing in 2022 to more normal (aka) sustainable levels.  

Then came April 2nd, 2025. We expect a substantial tax increase to cause some issues with hiring, but the haphazard, almost random way these were implemented was especially disruptive. We have not added any jobs since Liberation Day. Worse, the NY Times analysis found “Health care and social assistance accounted for virtually all private-sector job growth in 2025.”

https://ritholtz.com/2026/01/ieepa-tariffs-update/

Fake news and *** news...you've hit the exacta.

Only you lost money on your wager.....'cuz, youre an idiot, gambling with scared pennies.
 

Blackvegetable » 28 Jan 2026, 10:03 am » wrote: ↑

28 Jan 2026, 10:03 am

Before I look.
Are you offering a rationale for no jobs?

You are a lazy ****,  no wonder you're unemployed.

Blackvegetable » 28 Jan 2026, 9:25 am » wrote: ↑

28 Jan 2026, 9:25 am

The chart above is from my Q1 2026 client call. It shows a huge post-pandemic surge that began slowing in 2022 to more normal (aka) sustainable levels.  

Then came April 2nd, 2025. We expect a substantial tax increase to cause some issues with hiring, but the haphazard, almost random way these were implemented was especially disruptive. We have not added any jobs since Liberation Day. Worse, the NY Times analysis found “Health care and social assistance accounted for virtually all private-sector job growth in 2025.”

https://ritholtz.com/2026/01/ieepa-tariffs-update/

Ok BV. Let's compare our definitions of Survivorship Bias and why yours is as useless as you. - Liberal Forum Political Chat Room

Deal:

Deal: Veghead claimed he already answered this question. LOL. If Veghead proves that he did indeed answer the survivorship multiple choice question below, as the question is written and asked, along with his defense of his answer, then I will agree to never come back. I am permabanned. Gone. Like a fart in the wind. If he cannot, then he is out of here for a month. Additionally, his defense cannot be "Because it fits my definition." That is a claim, not a defense. He is to defend why.  His evidence must precede the timestamp upon when this challenge has been agreed upon by both parties. Moreover, he must answer immediately when the mods say "go," That next post. Not the next 600 posts. Either Cannon or Deezer mods.

Exception: I will allow for an exception. If he loses, then I will allow him to stay if he answers it the way it is asked, along with his defense. However, he must do it immediately after the deal has been decided. Not 100 posts later. The very next post of his must be his answer/defense.

Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?

A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors

Blackvegetable » 28 Jan 2026, 9:31 am » wrote: ↑

28 Jan 2026, 9:31 am

What this means — at least so far — is that much of this policy has not been implemented. Despite that, the data below strongly suggests that the Tariffs have had a substantial impact economically.5 U.S. Consumers today face an average effective tariff rate of 18% — the highest since 1934, according to the Yale Budget Lab.

ibid.

But Biduhn....cumulative 22%....!!!!

damn, these people are stupid.

Ok BV. Let's compare our definitions of Survivorship Bias and why yours is as useless as you. - Liberal Forum Political Chat Room

Deal:

Deal: Veghead claimed he already answered this question. LOL. If Veghead proves that he did indeed answer the survivorship multiple choice question below, as the question is written and asked, along with his defense of his answer, then I will agree to never come back. I am permabanned. Gone. Like a fart in the wind. If he cannot, then he is out of here for a month. Additionally, his defense cannot be "Because it fits my definition." That is a claim, not a defense. He is to defend why.  His evidence must precede the timestamp upon when this challenge has been agreed upon by both parties. Moreover, he must answer immediately when the mods say "go," That next post. Not the next 600 posts. Either Cannon or Deezer mods.

Exception: I will allow for an exception. If he loses, then I will allow him to stay if he answers it the way it is asked, along with his defense. However, he must do it immediately after the deal has been decided. Not 100 posts later. The very next post of his must be his answer/defense.

Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?

A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors

Blackvegetable » 28 Jan 2026, 11:51 am » wrote: ↑

28 Jan 2026, 11:51 am

To subject myself to this or not subject myself to this.....

no.

Ok BV. Let's compare our definitions of Survivorship Bias and why yours is as useless as you. - Liberal Forum Political Chat Room

Deal:

Deal: Veghead claimed he already answered this question. LOL. If Veghead proves that he did indeed answer the survivorship multiple choice question below, as the question is written and asked, along with his defense of his answer, then I will agree to never come back. I am permabanned. Gone. Like a fart in the wind. If he cannot, then he is out of here for a month. Additionally, his defense cannot be "Because it fits my definition." That is a claim, not a defense. He is to defend why.  His evidence must precede the timestamp upon when this challenge has been agreed upon by both parties. Moreover, he must answer immediately when the mods say "go," That next post. Not the next 600 posts. Either Cannon or Deezer mods.

Exception: I will allow for an exception. If he loses, then I will allow him to stay if he answers it the way it is asked, along with his defense. However, he must do it immediately after the deal has been decided. Not 100 posts later. The very next post of his must be his answer/defense.

Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?

A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors

Blackvegetable » 28 Jan 2026, 12:14 pm » wrote: ↑

28 Jan 2026, 12:14 pm

Another **** metric.

Ok BV. Let's compare our definitions of Survivorship Bias and why yours is as useless as you. - Liberal Forum Political Chat Room

Deal:

Deal: Veghead claimed he already answered this question. LOL. If Veghead proves that he did indeed answer the survivorship multiple choice question below, as the question is written and asked, along with his defense of his answer, then I will agree to never come back. I am permabanned. Gone. Like a fart in the wind. If he cannot, then he is out of here for a month. Additionally, his defense cannot be "Because it fits my definition." That is a claim, not a defense. He is to defend why.  His evidence must precede the timestamp upon when this challenge has been agreed upon by both parties. Moreover, he must answer immediately when the mods say "go," That next post. Not the next 600 posts. Either Cannon or Deezer mods.

Exception: I will allow for an exception. If he loses, then I will allow him to stay if he answers it the way it is asked, along with his defense. However, he must do it immediately after the deal has been decided. Not 100 posts later. The very next post of his must be his answer/defense.

Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?

A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors

Blackvegetable » 28 Jan 2026, 12:14 pm » wrote: ↑

28 Jan 2026, 12:14 pm

Another **** metric.

Ok BV. Let's compare our definitions of Survivorship Bias and why yours is as useless as you. - Liberal Forum Political Chat Room

Deal:

Deal: Veghead claimed he already answered this question. LOL. If Veghead proves that he did indeed answer the survivorship multiple choice question below, as the question is written and asked, along with his defense of his answer, then I will agree to never come back. I am permabanned. Gone. Like a fart in the wind. If he cannot, then he is out of here for a month. Additionally, his defense cannot be "Because it fits my definition." That is a claim, not a defense. He is to defend why.  His evidence must precede the timestamp upon when this challenge has been agreed upon by both parties. Moreover, he must answer immediately when the mods say "go," That next post. Not the next 600 posts. Either Cannon or Deezer mods.

Exception: I will allow for an exception. If he loses, then I will allow him to stay if he answers it the way it is asked, along with his defense. However, he must do it immediately after the deal has been decided. Not 100 posts later. The very next post of his must be his answer/defense.

Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?

A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors

Blackvegetable » 28 Jan 2026, 9:25 am » wrote: ↑

28 Jan 2026, 9:25 am

The chart above is from my Q1 2026 client call. It shows a huge post-pandemic surge that began slowing in 2022 to more normal (aka) sustainable levels.  


Then came April 2nd, 2025. We expect a substantial tax increase to cause some issues with hiring, but the haphazard, almost random way these were implemented was especially disruptive. We have not added any jobs since Liberation Day. Worse, the NY Times analysis found “Health care and social assistance accounted for virtually all private-sector job growth in 2025.”

https://ritholtz.com/2026/01/ieepa-tariffs-update/
 

Demand side is in full implosion.

Johnny You » 29 Jan 2026, 6:15 am » wrote: ↑

29 Jan 2026, 6:15 am

So you can't insert an image visible to people yet? BV seems to have mastered it.

  The civilian unemployment rate is increasing on your chart.  

What am I supposed to be looking at?  The COVID Spike?

 

When looking intellectual timeline charts comparing total sum past against current event details being recorded statistically, what is the baseline to the positive and negative details leading away from at the core of everything existing in series parallel time?

Absolute zero balance point between nothing at all, everything universally proportionately present here, something specific, anything else is possible.

Reasonable doubt leading ancestors' brains doesn't discuss when a brain develops before a mind is socially nurtured after birth. Every ancestor was alive 0-9 months before registered at birth to be part of societal evolution cradle to grave believing character matters more than understanding how evolving actually happens here, now.

Reasonable doubt for the greater good of humanity is the original sin of mankind throughout history of people directing social outcomes scheduled 7 days a week.

ROG62 » 29 Jan 2026, 6:43 am » wrote: ↑

29 Jan 2026, 6:43 am

translation = time to deflect...
 

that was real brain activity, not some reciting social consensus.

*31stArrival » 29 Jan 2026, 6:48 am » wrote: ↑

29 Jan 2026, 6:48 am

that was real brain activity, not some reciting social consensus.

no ricocheting here! well, yet!
 

ROG62 » 29 Jan 2026, 6:49 am » wrote: ↑

29 Jan 2026, 6:49 am

no ricocheting here! well, yet!
 

Remember the kinetic version of thermodynamic results being details of one yourself. Brains are as unique as the chromosomes in one's body with a single beating heart adapting self evidently here, now.

Beyond rational doubts life isn't anything other than what is going on so far.

Blackvegetable » 29 Jan 2026, 6:57 am » wrote: ↑

29 Jan 2026, 6:57 am

By going to PRIMARY data?

This is how **** stupid you are, JuCo.

 

Why not primary evolving results in plain sight? What is data created by? rational ideas life isn't self evident time evolving one at a time, now.

Series parallel situation for any reproduction native to this atmosphere being alive spontaneously one at a time, simultaneously with 8.3 billion others, equally adapting to same circumstances of living eternally separated by personal heart beats since conceived.

Naturally common time alive, since conception. the demand side of equal time alive is a hoax there is a new world order greater than the natural time alive. JuCo isn't the only reality involved.

Bet you are glad you paid for pg. only way you can save face is eliminate what shows you to be who you rather had been than all you were since conception.

Blackvegetable » 29 Jan 2026, 7:12 am » wrote: ↑

29 Jan 2026, 7:12 am

A graph of what, JuCo?

**** idiot

An idiot never learns to understand what their own body was since conceived dying to stay in the definition humanity created within social consensus cradle to grave.

Not only you peanut gallery my posts, you give a reddie to try and rub salt into it. ha ha ha ha ha. You validate my posts by taking them out of sight in NHB.

Zeets2 » 05 Feb 2026, 2:15 pm » wrote: ↑

05 Feb 2026, 2:15 pm

I wouldn't know. 
Ask your father.

Then ask him why a car with an electric motor and can run without gas can't be called an Electric Vehicle, even when Toyota calls it that.

Hybrids run on gas, and CAN run briefly without gas, on the electric which the gas generated.
EVs run on electric. No gas.
You are a gay homosexual who needs to keep my dad's name out his mouf. My dad DIED in a hybrid car. And his corpse doesnotneedyou running your dick kisser that it was an EV, fruitcake. 
 

Cannonpointer » 05 Feb 2026, 8:27 pm » wrote: ↑

05 Feb 2026, 8:27 pm

Hybrids run on gas, and CAN run briefly without gas, on the electric which the gas generated.
EVs run on electric. No gas.
You are a gay homosexual who needs to keep my dad's name out his mouf. My dad DIED in a hybrid car. And his corpse doesnotneedyou running your dick kisser that it was an EV, fruitcake.

How can I keep his name out of his "mouf" when
A) I don't know or care to know his name,
and
B) I wouldn't know where on his body his "mouf" is or even what the **** it is,
and
C) How could I possibly keep anything out of a dead person's "mouf", and what is it you think is in there?
and
D) Ignorant sissybois like yourself should employ a translator when posting, or at least seek advice from a person who has successfully passed 3rd grade English.

Time for you to seek some professional help.  Your current level of dementia is clearly on the rise and nearing the Biden plateau.

Oh yeah, and I'll continue to state that a car that has an electric motor WITH AN EV MODE and can be driven without gas CAN BE CALLED AN EV just like Toyota does, whether you like it or not!