U.S. employment numbers have been revised downward by a total of 710,000 jobs over the last 13 months

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By Johnny You
12 Mar 2026 6:18 am in No Holds Barred Political Forum
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Johnny You
12 Mar 2026 6:18 am
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Hire liars, expect to be fed lies.


U.S. employment numbers have been revised downward by a total of 710,000 jobs over the last 13 months, indicating that initial job reports were significantly overstated. This trend reflects downward revisions in 24 out of the last 25 months, with recent data showing a 94,000-job downward adjustment over the last 3 months. 


Key Details on Job Revisions:
Total Downward Revision: Approximately 710,000 fewer jobs reported over the last 13 consecutive months.
Average Overstatement: Roughly 55,000 jobs per month.
Recent Data: December 2025 saw a downward revision of -65,000, while January 2026 was revised down by -4,000.
Context: This marks a 24-month downward revision trend out of the last 25 months. 


youtu.be/Iq18uGlAYhg?si=Mq7EnusaBcWyUQuQ]KYLE KULINSKI "SECULAR TALK" 3/12/26  DOT COM REQUIRED PER CP SHELTERING OF CHILD BRAINS[
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Blackvegetable
12 Mar 2026 6:54 am
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JohnnyYou » 12 Mar 2026, 6:18 am » wrote: Hire liars, expect to be fed lies.

U.S. employment numbers have been revised downward by a total of 710,000 jobs over the last 13 months, indicating that initial job reports were significantly overstated. This trend reflects downward revisions in 24 out of the last 25 months, with recent data showing a 94,000-job downward adjustment over the last 3 months. 

Key Details on Job Revisions:
Total Downward Revision: Approximately 710,000 fewer jobs reported over the last 13 consecutive months.
Average Overstatement: Roughly 55,000 jobs per month.
Recent Data: December 2025 saw a downward revision of -65,000, while January 2026 was revised down by -4,000.
Context: This marks a 24-month downward revision trend out of the last 25 months. 

youtu.be/Iq18uGlAYhg?si=Mq7EnusaBcWyUQuQ]KYLE KULINSKI "SECULAR TALK" 3/12/26  DOT COM REQUIRED PER CP SHELTERING OF CHILD BRAINS[

wow...Grafty really blows!
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Johnny You
12 Mar 2026 7:03 am
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Blackvegetable » 12 Mar 2026, 6:54 am » wrote: wow...Grafty really blows!
If we could get him in front of @ROG62  's Windmill we probabaly could power the entire Black Vegetable YouNeedVerse..


 
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*GHETTO BLASTER
12 Mar 2026 7:08 am
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JohnnyYou » 12 Mar 2026, 6:18 am » wrote: Hire liars, expect to be fed lies.

U.S. employment numbers have been revised downward by a total of 710,000 jobs over the last 13 months,We need to kick out another 710,000 Illegal Aliens by close of business today.............
If each ICE Agent gives 33 Illegals the boot....problem solved...!!

ICE tip reporting by phoneU.S. and Canada: (866) 347-2423
We need to kick out another 710,000 Illegal Aliens by close of business today.............
If each ICE Agent gives 33 Illegals the boot....problem solved...!!

ICE tip reporting by phoneU.S. and Canada: (866) 347-2423 
 
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Johnny You
12 Mar 2026 7:10 am
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*GHETTOBLASTER » 12 Mar 2026, 7:08 am » wrote: We need to kick out another 710,000 Illegal Aliens by close of business today.............
If each ICE Agent gives 33 Illegals the boot....problem solved...!!

ICE tip reporting by phoneU.S. and Canada: (866) 347-2423 
Is your solution a negative Gross Domestic Product?  

Takes one to know one.


 
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Fuelman
12 Mar 2026 7:10 am
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JohnnyYou » 12 Mar 2026, 6:18 am » wrote: Hire liars, expect to be fed lies.

U.S. employment numbers have been revised downward by a total of 710,000 jobs over the last 13 months, indicating that initial job reports were significantly overstated. This trend reflects downward revisions in 24 out of the last 25 months, with recent data showing a 94,000-job downward adjustment over the last 3 months. 

Key Details on Job Revisions:
Total Downward Revision: Approximately 710,000 fewer jobs reported over the last 13 consecutive months.
Average Overstatement: Roughly 55,000 jobs per month.
Recent Data: December 2025 saw a downward revision of -65,000, while January 2026 was revised down by -4,000.
Context: This marks a 24-month downward revision trend out of the last 25 months. 

youtu.be/Iq18uGlAYhg?si=Mq7EnusaBcWyUQuQ]KYLE KULINSKI "SECULAR TALK" 3/12/26  DOT COM REQUIRED PER CP SHELTERING OF CHILD BRAINS[
Looks like the same liars worked for Biden!

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced a preliminary benchmark revision in September 2025 indicating that job growth from April 2024 to March 2025 was overstated by 911,000 jobs, marking the largest downward revision on record. Other notable revisions during this period included a, 818,000 downward revision for the year ending in March 2024. House Committee on the Budget (.gov)House Committee on the Budget (.gov) +4
 
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Johnny You
12 Mar 2026 7:13 am
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Fuelman » 12 Mar 2026, 7:10 am » wrote: Looks like the same liars worked for Biden!

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced a preliminary benchmark revision in September 2025 indicating that job growth from April 2024 to March 2025 was overstated by 911,000 jobs, marking the largest downward revision on record. Other notable revisions during this period included a, 818,000 downward revision for the year ending in March 2024. House Committee on the Budget (.gov)House Committee on the Budget (.gov) +4
I'll take that like a man..

Is this where you pull..  "Well the Democrats did it so we'll do it worse!" Logic?  That argument goes right down my golden toilet every time.

How many times do I have to say the divisive dysfunctionality is bipartisan?  Trump just weaponizes it.. 

BiPartyism is growing.  The middle is where everything goes on average.
 
 
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*GHETTO BLASTER
12 Mar 2026 7:15 am
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JohnnyYou » 12 Mar 2026, 7:10 am » wrote: Is your solution a negative Gross Domestic Product?  

Takes one to know one.
Let's make our labor unions great again...!!!  35% was our high water mark...!! ICE tip reporting by phoneU.S. and Canada: (866) 347-2423


 
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Fuelman
12 Mar 2026 7:18 am
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JohnnyYou » 12 Mar 2026, 7:13 am » wrote: I'll take that like a man..

Is this where you pull..  "Well the Democrats did it so we'll do it worse!" Logic?  That argument goes right down my golden toilet every time.

How many tmes do I have to say the divisive dysfunctionality is bipartisan?  Trump just weaponizes it..
No! I take it as the self described numerate experts couldn't find their asshole with both hands.
 
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Blackvegetable
12 Mar 2026 7:41 am
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Fuelman » 12 Mar 2026, 7:10 am » wrote: Looks like the same liars worked for Biden!

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced a preliminary benchmark revision in September 2025 indicating that job growth from April 2024 to March 2025 was overstated by 911,000 jobs, marking the largest downward revision on record. Other notable revisions during this period included a, 818,000 downward revision for the year ending in March 2024. House Committee on the Budget (.gov)House Committee on the Budget (.gov) +4
You people are so **** g'ddammned stupid. 

Biden didn't fire the Head Head Counter for delivering bad news. All they do is compile what is provided to them.

Grifty has choked the economy, and now he's gonna add the cherry of $100/bbl oil on top.

He's a cretin.
 
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Blackvegetable
12 Mar 2026 7:42 am
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Fuelman » 12 Mar 2026, 7:18 am » wrote: No! I take it as the self described numerate experts couldn't find their asshole with both hands.
You just don't have any **** idea what they do, or how.
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Fuelman
12 Mar 2026 9:00 am
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Blackvegetable » 12 Mar 2026, 7:41 am » wrote: You people are so **** g'ddammned stupid. 

Biden didn't fire the Head Head Counter for delivering bad news. All they do is compile what is provided to them.

Grifty has choked the economy, and now he's gonna add the cherry of $100/bbl oil on top.

He's a cretin.
You are right, Biden didn't fire incompetent people!

Image  I suppose missing the mark by 36% in numerate world is considered accurate. They should just give up on the preliminary numbers as they are always wrong.

BLS Has Lengthy History of Inaccuracies, Incompetence – The White House https://share.google/YLntj3X4QDv7MeoTv

A lengthy history of inaccuracies and incompetence by Erika McEntarfer, the former Biden-appointed Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, has completely eroded public trust in the government agency charged with disseminating key data used by policymakers and businesses to make consequential decisions.

Bloomberg, 11/15/24: “Two key Senate Republicans excoriated the US government statistics agency responsible for monthly employment reports, saying recent large-scale revisions to initial figures show its ‘continued failures’ in producing crucial economic data … A preliminary annual revision to the jobs data, made in August, suggested job growth in the 12 months through March will be marked down by more than 800,000 — the largest downward revision since 2009 — making waves in financial markets and on Capitol Hill. The final data is due early next year.”

Bloomberg, 6/6/24: “Data published Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics suggest payrolls might have grown about 60,000 less per month on average last year than the roughly 250,000 run-rate derived from the agency’s monthly employment report
 
 
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Blackvegetable
12 Mar 2026 9:05 am
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Fuelman » 12 Mar 2026, 9:00 am » wrote: You are right, Biden didn't fire incompetent people!

Image  I suppose missing the mark by 36% in numerate world is considered accurate. They should just give up on the preliminary numbers as they are always wrong.

BLS Has Lengthy History of Inaccuracies, Incompetence – The White House https://share.google/YLntj3X4QDv7MeoTv

A lengthy history of inaccuracies and incompetence by Erika McEntarfer, the former Biden-appointed Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, has completely eroded public trust in the government agency charged with disseminating key data used by policymakers and businesses to make consequential decisions.

Bloomberg, 11/15/24: “Two key Senate Republicans excoriated the US government statistics agency responsible for monthly employment reports, saying recent large-scale revisions to initial figures show its ‘continued failures’ in producing crucial economic data … A preliminary annual revision to the jobs data, made in August, suggested job growth in the 12 months through March will be marked down by more than 800,000 — the largest downward revision since 2009 — making waves in financial markets and on Capitol Hill. The final data is due early next year.”

Bloomberg, 6/6/24: “Data published Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics suggest payrolls might have grown about 60,000 less per month on average last year than the roughly 250,000 run-rate derived from the agency’s monthly employment report
Biden didn't fire incompetent people!
what, specifically, made her "incompetent"?

 
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Fuelman
12 Mar 2026 9:13 am
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Blackvegetable » 12 Mar 2026, 9:05 am » wrote: what, specifically, made her "incompetent"?
Note the bolded part, it makes a difference Mr. Numerate Business Guy!

Read the link.

A lengthy history of inaccuracies and incompetence by Erika McEntarfer, the former Biden-appointed Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, has completely eroded public trust in the government agency charged with disseminating key data used by policymakers and businesses to make consequential decisions.
 
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Blackvegetable
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The establishment survey (Current Employment Statistics) has a much smaller margin of error for measuring month-to-month change than the household survey. For the total nonfarm employment change to be considered statistically significant, it typically must be at least 122,000 jobs. [1, 2, 3] 

Key Margin of Error Statistics * Standard Error: The standard error for the estimated over-the-month change in total nonfarm employment is approximately 83,000.

* Confidence Interval: A 95% confidence interval for monthly job changes is roughly +/- 162,500.

* Statistical Significance Threshold: An over-the-month change of about 122,000 is required for the change to be statistically significant at a 90% confidence level. [1, 2, 4]    

Annual Benchmark Revisions


The "total survey error" is gauged annually through benchmark revisions, which replace sample-based estimates with near-universe counts from unemployment insurance records. [5, 6]  

* Historical Average: The absolute average benchmark revision for total nonfarm employment over the last 10 years is 0.2%.


* Recent Revisions:

* March 2025: Final revision was -898,000 (-0.6%), reflecting a significant overstatement in initial survey data.

   * March 2024: Final revision was -589,000 (-0.4%). [6, 7, 8, 9]  For more details on how these calculations are performed, you can consult the [CES Handbook of Methods](https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesfaq.htm
 
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Fuelman
12 Mar 2026 9:17 am
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Blackvegetable » 12 Mar 2026, 9:13 am » wrote: The establishment survey (Current Employment Statistics) has a much smaller margin of error for measuring month-to-month change than the household survey. For the total nonfarm employment change to be considered statistically significant, it typically must be at least 122,000 jobs. [1, 2, 3] 

Key Margin of Error Statistics * Standard Error: The standard error for the estimated over-the-month change in total nonfarm employment is approximately 83,000.

* Confidence Interval: A 95% confidence interval for monthly job changes is roughly +/- 162,500.

* Statistical Significance Threshold: An over-the-month change of about 122,000 is required for the change to be statistically significant at a 90% confidence level. [1, 2, 4]    

Annual Benchmark Revisions

The "total survey error" is gauged annually through benchmark revisions, which replace sample-based estimates with near-universe counts from unemployment insurance records. [5, 6]  

* Historical Average: The absolute average benchmark revision for total nonfarm employment over the last 10 years is 0.2%.

* Recent Revisions:

* March 2025: Final revision was -898,000 (-0.6%), reflecting a significant overstatement in initial survey data.

   * March 2024: Final revision was -589,000 (-0.4%). [6, 7, 8, 9]  For more details on how these calculations are performed, you can consult the [CES Handbook of Methods](https://www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesfaq.htm

:rofl:  I just call it "Liberal Math"!
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Blackvegetable
12 Mar 2026 9:17 am
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Fuelman » 12 Mar 2026, 9:13 am » wrote: Note the bolded part, it makes a difference Mr. Numerate Business Guy!

Read the link.

A lengthy history of inaccuracies and incompetence by Erika McEntarfer, the former Biden-appointed Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, has completely eroded public trust in the government agency charged with disseminating key data used by policymakers and businesses to make consequential decisions.
That's just rebleating the same ****.

Her only job in the monthly reporting process is to sign the final product.

And her replacement hasn't done any better.
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Blackvegetable
12 Mar 2026 9:18 am
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Fuelman » 12 Mar 2026, 9:17 am » wrote: Image  I just call it "Liberal Math"!
Beats thinking....I guess.


 
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Fuelman
12 Mar 2026 10:24 am
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Blackvegetable » 12 Mar 2026, 9:17 am » wrote: That's just rebleating the same ****.

Her only job in the monthly reporting process is to sign the final product.

And her replacement hasn't done any better.
In the real world, the boss gets fired when your product is garbage.

The voluntary reporting system on jobs is obviously flawed, no amount of statistical **** can correct it.
 
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Blackvegetable
12 Mar 2026 11:01 am
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Fuelman » 12 Mar 2026, 10:24 am » wrote: In the real world, the boss gets fired when your product is garbage.

The voluntary reporting system on jobs is obviously flawed, no amount of statistical **** can correct it.
:rofl:  

You cast 2 proud votes for Worse than Buchanan....

The BLS commisioner doesn't choose the methodology, which is constrained by available resources.

If you want 99% certainty and less error, it will be considerably more expensive.


And let's not be so quick to overlook that she was right.
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