Liberal Forum

Now then...since there are ZERO bears left in the market...           

I am thoroughly convinced that 80 - 85% of retail traders will buy every dip, even as we are on the precipice of a BEAR market!!! (Only a few months remain if my charts are accurate)

I saw individual Bitcoin traders with accounts ranging between $500,000 to $3M that took years to achieve - get wiped out by the upthrust in November followed by a 40% crash (many of them went all in on leverage at the fake breakout).         

I recall telling various individuals on social media that "smart money" (people who were in Bitcoin as early as 2011) cash out with $100M+ orders between September and October 2025...and they refused to listen. They REMAINED BULLISH even as it collapsed!           

Fckin' retards...

--------------

Now it is almost time for stocks...(followed with commodities like oil, gold, and silver - those tend to top a bit after stocks based on my careful analysis of past cycles)

Donald J tRumP, you motherf*cking POS, I want you to give me the GREATEST crash since 1929. 

 
 

You must use different charts than everyone else?

Current estimates for a US recession range between 17% and 48%, depending on the model, with prediction markets showing record-low odds of a near-term downturn.

Economic indicators and probability models vary across top institutionsrediction Markets:

On platforms like Kalshi, odds of a 2026 recession have recently plummeted to around 17.5%, while competitor Polymarket tracks odds in the 23% to 40% range.

Federal Reserve Models: The NY Fed's recession probability model (based on the Treasury spread) sits at 17.6%. Conversely, the Philadelphia Fed's "Anxious Index" puts a 25.0% probability on a contraction next quarter.

Wall Street Institutions: Goldman Sachs forecasts a 30% chance of a U.S. recession over the next year, while models like Moody’s Analytics place the 12-month likelihood slightly higher at 48.6%.

Note: Economic recession models are inherently estimations based on historical financial metrics like yield curves, inflation, and employment data, rather than guarantees.
 

LowIQTrash » Yesterday, 5:51 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 5:51 pm

Now then...since there are ZERO bears left in the market...           

I am thoroughly convinced that 80 - 85% of retail traders will buy every dip, even as we are on the precipice of a BEAR market!!! (Only a few months remain if my charts are accurate)

I saw individual Bitcoin traders with accounts ranging between $500,000 to $3M that took years to achieve - get wiped out by the upthrust in November followed by a 40% crash (many of them went all in on leverage at the fake breakout).         

I recall telling various individuals on social media that "smart money" (people who were in Bitcoin as early as 2011) cash out with $100M+ orders between September and October 2025...and they refused to listen. They REMAINED BULLISH even as it collapsed!           

Fckin' retards...

--------------

Now it is almost time for stocks...(followed with commodities like oil, gold, and silver - those tend to top a bit after stocks based on my careful analysis of past cycles)

Donald J tRumP, you motherf*cking POS, I want you to give me the GREATEST crash since 1929. 

No.

LowIQTrash » Yesterday, 5:51 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 5:51 pm

Now then...since there are ZERO bears left in the market...           

I am thoroughly convinced that 80 - 85% of retail traders will buy every dip, even as we are on the precipice of a BEAR market!!! (Only a few months remain if my charts are accurate)

I saw individual Bitcoin traders with accounts ranging between $500,000 to $3M that took years to achieve - get wiped out by the upthrust in November followed by a 40% crash (many of them went all in on leverage at the fake breakout).         

I recall telling various individuals on social media that "smart money" (people who were in Bitcoin as early as 2011) cash out with $100M+ orders between September and October 2025...and they refused to listen. They REMAINED BULLISH even as it collapsed!           

Fckin' retards...

--------------

Now it is almost time for stocks...(followed with commodities like oil, gold, and silver - those tend to top a bit after stocks based on my careful analysis of past cycles)

Donald J tRumP, you motherf*cking POS, I want you to give me the GREATEST crash since 1929. 

Trump deserves to be sanctioned, and have his assets siezed.. He is more corrupt than anything else on the planet.

Let him live in exile in  Russia..   Melania will be glad to get back home.

DeezerShoove » Today, 9:25 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 9:25 am

No.

Questions...  Dicksucker.. There was no question.
 
 
 

Fuelman » Today, 8:09 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 8:09 am

You must use different charts than everyone else?

Ya Think?   LIQT doesn't buy the brainwashing you do..

Current estimates for a US recession range between 17% and 48%, depending on the model, with prediction markets showing record-low odds of a near-term downturn.

Lovely...

Economic indicators and probability models vary across top institutionsrediction Markets:

But of course..

On platforms like Kalshi, odds of a 2026 recession have recently plummeted to around 17.5%, while competitor Polymarket tracks odds in the 23% to 40% range.

Betting on losing isn't popular..  When does Humanity get axed?  Who's gonna collect?

Federal Reserve Models: The NY Fed's recession probability model (based on the Treasury spread) sits at 17.6%. Conversely, the Philadelphia Fed's "Anxious Index" puts a 25.0% probability on a contraction next quarter.

Wall Street Institutions: Goldman Sachs forecasts a 30% chance of a U.S. recession over the next year, while models like Moody’s Analytics place the 12-month likelihood slightly higher at 48.6%.

Note: Economic recession models are inherently estimations based on historical financial metrics like yield curves, inflation, and employment data, rather than guarantees.

Again, I am sure you and LIQT can debate the details..  Everything I see indicates the AI Bubble is gonna blow like the Manhattan Project on Acid. That **** is faked an hyped up and it is identical to the dot com bust in layout. Why did Peter Thiel move to Argentina?  He said it was too unstable in the USA..

Pay attention Fool Man. But it probably doesn't matter anyway..  There'll be 5 kids for every doll this Christmas..
 
 
 

LowIQTrash » Yesterday, 5:51 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 5:51 pm

Now then...since there are ZERO bears left in the market...           


 

That is kind of funny considering this:

 aggregate short interest across the broader U.S. market is not at an absolute all-time high, but it has surged to its highest level since the 2008 financial crisis. Bearish positioning is roughly double the levels seen during the 2020 pandemic

Fuelman » Today, 8:09 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 8:09 am

You must use different charts than everyone else?

Current estimates for a US recession range between 17% and 48%, depending on the model, with prediction markets showing record-low odds of a near-term downturn.

Economic indicators and probability models vary across top institutionsrediction Markets:

On platforms like Kalshi, odds of a 2026 recession have recently plummeted to around 17.5%, while competitor Polymarket tracks odds in the 23% to 40% range.

Federal Reserve Models: The NY Fed's recession probability model (based on the Treasury spread) sits at 17.6%. Conversely, the Philadelphia Fed's "Anxious Index" puts a 25.0% probability on a contraction next quarter.

Wall Street Institutions: Goldman Sachs forecasts a 30% chance of a U.S. recession over the next year, while models like Moody’s Analytics place the 12-month likelihood slightly higher at 48.6%.

Note: Economic recession models are inherently estimations based on historical financial metrics like yield curves, inflation, and employment data, rather than guarantees.

Based on historical track records, you claimed that every time economists ( > 50% polled) believed a recession would occur within the next 365 calendar days, one almost never materialized.

Now they don't believe one is likely (or even possible)...
 

LowIQTrash » 37 minutes ago » wrote: ↑

37 minutes ago

Based on historical track records, you claimed that every time economists ( > 50% polled) believed a recession would occur within the next 365 calendar days, one almost never materialized.

Now they don't believe one is likely (or even possible)...

I forgot the truckload of salt to go along with that post!

Enjoy the melt up in the meantime.
 

JohnnyYou » Today, 11:35 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 11:35 am

Questions...  Dicksucker.. There was no question.

Can't you read a **** title, stupid ***?

DeezerShoove » 7 minutes ago » wrote: ↑

7 minutes ago

Can't you read a **** title, stupid ***?

Ya got me..  
 

WHY would he "DESERVE" a 70% stock market crash?   Because:

1)  He's brought back $20 Trillion worth of industry we let MOVE to China over the last 30 years? 

2)  Stopped a China that thought they were going to TALE OVER THE WORLD... DEAD in their TRACKS ?

3)  Took OUT the biggest NARCO Terrorist (& NARCO Terrorist Country) in the WORLD... Maduro/Venezuela ?

4)  EXPOSED possibly BILLIONS of $$$ of FRAUD, GRAFT, CORRUPTION and Democrat THIEVERY ?

5)  Exposed the DEEP STATE, and DRAINED the SWAMP... JUST like he SAID he would do?

6)  Exposed the CORRUPTED Democrat controlled U.S Government BEURACRACY.. & it's TREASON against America/Americans/ and Democracy ??

NOW, we MIGHT get to see some of these people GO TO JAIL !!   YOU KNOW... Maybe YOU should just move to CHINA, RUSSIA, IRAN, or the PRNK... I think YOU would like it there MUCH better than you do here !!

Fuelman » Today, 11:57 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 11:57 am

That is kind of funny considering this:

 aggregate short interest across the broader U.S. market is not at an absolute all-time high, but it has surged to its highest level since the 2008 financial crisis. Bearish positioning is roughly double the levels seen during the 2020 pandemic

Do you remember that time when I, LowIQTrash "The Clairvoyant," got ALL OUT of puts on 4/7/25, right before tRumP the conman issued his announcement that caused a 10% spike in the STONK market Ponzi?

                     

LowIQTrash » Yesterday, 7:10 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 7:10 pm

Do you remember that time when I, LowIQTrash "The Clairvoyant," got ALL OUT of puts on 4/7/25, right before tRumP the conman issued his announcement that caused a 10% spike in the STONK market Ponzi?

                

It is close to that time again to EXTRACT the wealth from the Ponzi...

I gotta a little one I better grab while I can.

I am trusting Johnson Controls with the larger account....  They weather through everything..

Sounds like the Exodus is close.   Peter Thiel goes to Argentina..   The Kushner's bought a 1400 Hecatre Island in the Mediterranean.

My Destiny is to be one of the meek inheriting a used up worthless Earth.

youtu.be/7kHnoBnsY40?si=D52UIUMsAGecm0lz
 

LowIQTrash » Yesterday, 7:10 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 7:10 pm

Do you remember that time when I, LowIQTrash "The Clairvoyant," got ALL OUT of puts on 4/7/25, right before tRumP the conman issued his announcement that caused a 10% spike in the STONK market Ponzi?

                

It is close to that time again to EXTRACT the wealth from the Ponzi...

I don't recall that specifically, hopefully you made other good decisions (and money) in the last year.

Get it when and where you can. Reading a lot of 5 alarm fire scenarios in the media lately concerning the economy.


 

Fuelman » 36 minutes ago » wrote: ↑

36 minutes ago

I don't recall that specifically, hopefully you made other good decisions (and money) in the last year.

Get it when and where you can. Reading a lot of 5 alarm fire scenarios in the media lately concerning the economy.

It's not looking like a good day today..

The financial weather has been surprisingly good.  But talking abou the government does not help.

LIQT is gonna pull out.. Everyone else is too. 

https://i.postimg.cc/DysW-jqcw/DJIA-Snap-250603.jpg
 

Fuelman » Today, 8:55 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 8:55 am

I don't recall that specifically, hopefully you made other good decisions (and money) in the last year.

I was up 200% from March 30th to May (early) and threw the majority of those gains away in 3 short weeks.

And then I just realized the vast majority of people would kill for 200% gains over a 5 week period and that my greed was far too insatiable. 

The options knife slices both ways.
 
It would've been far less time consuming just to buy Micron.

Fuelman » Yesterday, 8:55 am » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 8:55 am

I don't recall that specifically, hopefully you made other good decisions (and money) in the last year.

Get it when and where you can. Reading a lot of 5 alarm fire scenarios in the media lately concerning the economy.

Did you sell Oracle? I said it could go up about 50% from when I mentioned it at 163.

LowIQTrash » Today, 12:00 am » wrote: ↑

Today, 12:00 am

Did you sell Oracle? I said it could go up about 50% from when I mentioned it at 163.

Isn't Trump in the Oracle Pie now?  It is hard to imagine Oracle could ever be sold down the **** River even though  the owners are swimming in it.

Refrigeration never dies..  It is a silent utility taken for granted.. It's to food as oil is to gasoline..  I am confident to hold out with what I have on the fund.  My personal outcome may not have been good with JCI.. But I think they are a strong investment. And something is going right right now.. I miss the insider info.  They had very large transparent informative global town hall meetings I was allowed to attend..  Warning: They are very much counting on the Data Center cooling in their model. It could go bust, but they could poise themselves as a leader in the arena..

https://i.postimg.cc/HLH8HN34/JCI-snap-250604.jpg
 
 

LowIQTrash » Yesterday, 12:33 pm » wrote: ↑

Yesterday, 12:33 pm

I was up 200% from March 30th to May (early) and threw the majority of those gains away in 3 short weeks.

And then I just realized the vast majority of people would kill for 200% gains over a 5 week period and that my greed was far too insatiable. 

The options knife slices both ways.
 
It would've been far less time consuming just to buy Micron.

200%?    I'm sitting at +6% for the first 5 months of 26'. (Medium risk portfolio)

I'm sure that 200% increase felt really good at the time. Hanging onto it is another story. It's not easy to save yourself from yourself.

Consider pulling 20-40% of those wins(profits) off the options table and put into longer term trades. Some of those trades may go negative but will not go to zero due to time decay. Worst case scenario, your options account goes to zero yet you have a portion of your wins creating profits on the side. Rainy day funds.

That's my 2 cents worth.