Liberal Forum

JohnnyYou » 24 Jul 2026, 3:26 pm » wrote: ↑

24 Jul 2026, 3:26 pm

Tesla @ 313$ share.. SPCX at 115$

Bye Bye Elon..

poor johnny, jealous Elon’s created over 1,000,000 jobs with his entrepreneurial savvy…and you’re not one of them…  

*Roshambo » 25 Jul 2026, 5:14 am » wrote: ↑

25 Jul 2026, 5:14 am

     
https://i.postimg.cc/59YtC62M/two.jpg

wow, VaG, that looks “real”…

a word of advice? don’t quit your day jobs…
 

ROG62 » 25 Jul 2026, 8:49 pm » wrote: ↑

25 Jul 2026, 8:49 pm

wow, VaG, that looks “real”…

a word of advice? don’t quit your day jobs…

JuCo,
AI did that.

A word of advice, when attending a car show, it is advisable you observe rather than participate actively, as this can help prevent any potential embarrassment.

 
 

ROG62 » 25 Jul 2026, 8:48 pm » wrote: ↑

25 Jul 2026, 8:48 pm

poor johnny, jealous Elon’s created over 1,000,000 jobs with his entrepreneurial savvy…and you’re not one of them…

ROG, you are a fool to believe that..

If anything Elon is erasing a million jobs.. and probably even more lives...

The rich do not care about people.  The rich care about the rich.  You could very well end up being a DOGE victim before it all is said and done.
 

JohnnyYou » 26 Jul 2026, 3:27 am » wrote: ↑

26 Jul 2026, 3:27 am

ROG, you are a fool to believe that..

If anything Elon is erasing a million jobs.. and probably even more lives...

The rich do not care about people.  The rich care about the rich.  You could very well end up being a DOGE victim before it all is said and done.

$110.7 billion in salaries, $46 billion in taxes, $182.2 billion in procurement, the "American Dream" created by Musk...





In summary: $110.7 billion in wages + $46 billion in taxes + $182.2 billion in supplier spending = $338 billion injected into the U.S. economy since 2021. As projects like fully autonomous taxis (Robotaxi), humanoid robots Optimus, and supercomputers Colossus scale up, these expenditures are expected to grow significantly in the short term, potentially exceeding $300 billion annually.

Considering the economic multiplier effect, this is akin to installing a "turbocharger" for the U.S. GDP. Where is Musk's influence? He has created high-paying jobs, funded public utilities, and rebuilt industrial strength, proving that bold innovation ultimately benefits ordinary Americans.

https://bbx.com/article/500202

​​​​​​​weep…
 

*Roshambo » 26 Jul 2026, 2:45 am » wrote: ↑

26 Jul 2026, 2:45 am

JuCo,
AI did that.

A word of advice, when attending a car show, it is advisable you observe rather than participate actively, as this can help prevent any potential embarrassment.

get better AI…

embarrassment from what…looking for non-existent Prius’?
 
 

ROG62 » 26 Jul 2026, 10:27 am » wrote: ↑

26 Jul 2026, 10:27 am

get better AI…

embarrassment from what…looking for non-existent Prius’?

ChatGtp
Get a life you **** loser   

 

LowIQTrash » 01 Jun 2026, 5:51 pm » wrote: ↑

01 Jun 2026, 5:51 pm

Now then...since there are ZERO bears left in the market...           

I am thoroughly convinced that 80 - 85% of retail traders will buy every dip, even as we are on the precipice of a BEAR market!!! (Only a few months remain if my charts are accurate)

I saw individual Bitcoin traders with accounts ranging between $500,000 to $3M that took years to achieve - get wiped out by the upthrust in November followed by a 40% crash (many of them went all in on leverage at the fake breakout).         

I recall telling various individuals on social media that "smart money" (people who were in Bitcoin as early as 2011) cash out with $100M+ orders between September and October 2025...and they refused to listen. They REMAINED BULLISH even as it collapsed!           

Fckin' retards...

--------------

Now it is almost time for stocks...(followed with commodities like oil, gold, and silver - those tend to top a bit after stocks based on my careful analysis of past cycles)

Donald J tRumP, you motherf*cking POS, I want you to give me the GREATEST crash since 1929. 

80% CRASH?  ...DREAM ON !!

I think a 20% pull back might completely be a possibility... we have gone straight up since March 2025, the Buffet indicator has the markets in a very over bought position, and with the war and some other things going on... a 20% pull back is possible... HOWEVER, 50-80% crashes (bitcoin aside) are reserved for extreme times... and RIGHT NOW the P/E ratios of MOST of the high flying tech stocks are around 30-40... compared to the 100-120 of the tech stocks back in 1979-80.  

I've gotten more "conservative" lately myself... but, especially with the $2 Trillion $$$ that has come into America from abroad, and which has been being used to EXPAND/BUILD NEW American facilities since early 2025, AND are NOW just about ready to come on line... some of those numbers may be distorted.  My call?  20% pullback maybe... 80% pullback, I doubt it !!
 

Fuelman » 24 Jul 2026, 5:34 pm » wrote: ↑

24 Jul 2026, 5:34 pm

Not yet!

Market-Wide Profit TrendsOverall Growth:

Profits jumped 28.8% compared to last year, accelerating significantly from the 13.1% growth rate seen in the first quarter.

Broad Participation:

11 out of 12 major economic sectors experienced accelerating earnings growth, showing strength beyond just artificial intelligence and tech.

Beat Rates:

Approximately 85% of reporting companies beat profit expectations, while 81% topped revenue forecasts.

And that is perfectly fine. I told people on a messaging group that the June high set in the Nasdaq/SP wasn't the final high and more rallies will come.

I looked at 100 years of US stock market history and found none of the major tops that led to a 35%+ bear market started in June. Unfortunately even making a simple analysis / deduction like this is far beyond what most traders are capable of, which makes me conclude they won't survive the slaughter.

I estimate there is a 75% chance it tops in October 2026 and 99% by the end of March 2027. The idiot consensus is Warsh will raise rates and burst the bubble, which is nonsense. More likely it will be a black swan people haven't figured out yet. 

Maybe I should be thanking the J U U Z 3 for having some shenanigans planned???!!! 
 
 

LowIQTrash » 26 Jul 2026, 11:57 am » wrote: ↑

26 Jul 2026, 11:57 am

And that is perfectly fine. I told people on a messaging group that the June high set in the Nasdaq/SP wasn't the final high and more rallies will come.

I looked at 100 years of US stock market history and found none of the major tops that led to a 35%+ bear market started in June. Unfortunately even making a simple analysis / deduction like this is far beyond what most traders are capable of, which makes me conclude they won't survive the slaughter.

I estimate there is a 75% chance it tops in October 2026 and 99% by the end of March 2027. The idiot consensus is Warsh will raise rates and burst the bubble, which is nonsense. More likely it will be a black swan people haven't figured out yet. 

Maybe I should be thanking the J U U Z 3 for having some shenanigans planned???!!!

So here is the AI consensus of experts reporting on the odds. 

The current risk of a stock market crash is driven by a mix of extreme valuations, high oil prices, and uncertainty over artificial intelligence spending, though overall market probability estimates for a major 30%+ drop remain relatively low at around 8% to 10% annually.Key Risk FactorsStretched Valuations: The Shiller CAPE ratio has climbed near historic highs (around 42), approaching the peak levels seen during the 2000 dot-com bubble.AI and Tech Concentration: Massive capital expenditures on artificial intelligence infrastructure have led to crowded trades, leaving tech-heavy indexes like the Nasdaq vulnerable to sudden pullbacks or earnings misses.Inflation and Oil Spikes: Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven up oil prices, raising fears of sticky inflation and forcing the Federal Reserve to consider potential interest rate hikes.Historical Odds: Quantitative models and economic surveys generally place the baseline probability of an outright crash (a drop of 30% or more) in any given 12-month window at roughly 8% to 14%.

The black swan event will have to be something spectacular to derail the current advances. Let us know when ya figure it out.
 

*Roshambo » 26 Jul 2026, 10:30 am » wrote: ↑

26 Jul 2026, 10:30 am

ChatGtp
Get a life you **** loser 

Got a great one, 0-fer….now go have a good cry with your entourage in the closet…
 

ROG62 » 26 Jul 2026, 4:23 pm » wrote: ↑

26 Jul 2026, 4:23 pm

Got a great one, 0-fer….now go have a good cry with your entourage in the closet…

JuCo,
STFU
 
 

JuCo was getting too big for his britches and I had to shut him down for the day.

Fuelman » 26 Jul 2026, 3:56 pm » wrote: ↑

26 Jul 2026, 3:56 pm

So here is the AI consensus of experts reporting on the odds. 

The current risk of a stock market crash is driven by a mix of extreme valuations, high oil prices, and uncertainty over artificial intelligence spending, though overall market probability estimates for a major 30%+ drop remain relatively low at around 8% to 10% annually.Key Risk FactorsStretched Valuations: The Shiller CAPE ratio has climbed near historic highs (around 42), approaching the peak levels seen during the 2000 dot-com bubble.AI and Tech Concentration: Massive capital expenditures on artificial intelligence infrastructure have led to crowded trades, leaving tech-heavy indexes like the Nasdaq vulnerable to sudden pullbacks or earnings misses.Inflation and Oil Spikes: Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven up oil prices, raising fears of sticky inflation and forcing the Federal Reserve to consider potential interest rate hikes.Historical Odds: Quantitative models and economic surveys generally place the baseline probability of an outright crash (a drop of 30% or more) in any given 12-month window at roughly 8% to 14%.

The black swan event will have to be something spectacular to derail the current advances. Let us know when ya figure it out.
 

Remember when I said this a week ago before FOMC?

"The idiot consensus is Warsh will raise rates and burst the bubble" (meaning it wasn't going to happen)

I don't need to figure out the black swan. My only question is the timing b/c I am very GREEDY and want to buy shorter dated call options. I don't want to spend the extra premium out to March 2027

     

 

Fuelman » 26 Jul 2026, 3:56 pm » wrote: ↑

26 Jul 2026, 3:56 pm

So here is the AI consensus of experts reporting on the odds. 

The current risk of a stock market crash is driven by a mix of extreme valuations, high oil prices, and uncertainty over artificial intelligence spending, though overall market probability estimates for a major 30%+ drop remain relatively low at around 8% to 10% annually.Key Risk FactorsStretched Valuations: The Shiller CAPE ratio has climbed near historic highs (around 42), approaching the peak levels seen during the 2000 dot-com bubble.AI and Tech Concentration: Massive capital expenditures on artificial intelligence infrastructure have led to crowded trades, leaving tech-heavy indexes like the Nasdaq vulnerable to sudden pullbacks or earnings misses.Inflation and Oil Spikes: Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven up oil prices, raising fears of sticky inflation and forcing the Federal Reserve to consider potential interest rate hikes.Historical Odds: Quantitative models and economic surveys generally place the baseline probability of an outright crash (a drop of 30% or more) in any given 12-month window at roughly 8% to 14%.

The black swan event will have to be something spectacular to derail the current advances. Let us know when ya figure it out.

Also I wouldn't trust AI on these matters. Some hotshot "AI app" for traders hit the market just this year and was lauded as some amazing product during the vertical rally from March to June 2026.

They told traders to go all in on space names like AST Spacemobile, Intuitive Machines, etc.

Those names are down 30-70% since the June high. So their "AI" trash is highly questionable.