Liberal Forum

@LowIQTrash  you are knowledgeable about the stock market. Tell me your opinion about my theory.

It appears that the simple basic law of economics is being violated- supply and demand. 

Very simple law:

• Supply high - demand is low - prices are low

or the other direction

• Supply is low - demand is high - prices are high. 

Oil per barrel is down to $80/per barrel. But the supply is low , due to the Strait of Hormuz. It's been below 100 for two consecutive weeks. Now there is always a delay from crude oil prices to retail. Retail prices are the last in the chain to see the drop. Ok, fair enough. But on average it takes about a couple days delay. Sometimes a week. 

Since it has been 2 weeks, it should be moving like this:

• Oil supply is down - Demand is up- Oil per barrel is high.

But it's this:

• Oil supply is down- demand is up - oil per barrel is down. Way down. 

My theory: People in the government or people connected to the government, or both, are shorting the stock. On paper the oil per barrel is low. "They" are providing a window of opportunity to short it, before the supply/demand law can react. 

 
 

Vegas » 17 Jun 2026, 6:41 pm » wrote: ↑

17 Jun 2026, 6:41 pm

@LowIQTrash  you are knowledgeable about the stock market. Tell me your opinion of my theory.

It appears that the simple basic law of economics is being violated- supply and demand. 

Very simple law:

• Supply high - demand is low - prices are low

or the other direction

• Supply is low - demand is high - prices are high. 

Oil per barrel is down to $80/per barrel. But the supply is low , due to the Strait of Hormuz. It's been below 100 for two consecutive weeks. Now there is always a delay between crude oil prices to retail. Retail prices are the last in the chain to see the drop. Ok, fair enough. But on average it takes about a couple days delay. Sometimes a week. 

Since it has been 2 weeks, it should be moving like this:

• Oil supply is down - Demand is up- Oil per barrel is high.

But it's this:

• Oil supply is down- demand is up - oil per barrel is down. Way down. 

My theory: People in the government or people connected to the government, or both, are shorting the stock. On paper the oil per barrel is low. "They" are providing a window of opportunity to short it, before the supply/demand law can react. 
 
 

hasn't it always been off and on.

sole » 17 Jun 2026, 6:53 pm » wrote: ↑

17 Jun 2026, 6:53 pm

hasn't it always been off and on.

In accordance with the supply/demand, yes. 

Vegas » 17 Jun 2026, 6:41 pm » wrote: ↑

17 Jun 2026, 6:41 pm

@LowIQTrash  you are knowledgeable about the stock market. Tell me your opinion about my theory.

It appears that the simple basic law of economics is being violated- supply and demand. 

Very simple law:

• Supply high - demand is low - prices are low

or the other direction

• Supply is low - demand is high - prices are high. 

Oil per barrel is down to $80/per barrel. But the supply is low , due to the Strait of Hormuz. It's been below 100 for two consecutive weeks. Now there is always a delay from crude oil prices to retail. Retail prices are the last in the chain to see the drop. Ok, fair enough. But on average it takes about a couple days delay. Sometimes a week. 

Since it has been 2 weeks, it should be moving like this:

• Oil supply is down - Demand is up- Oil per barrel is high.

But it's this:

• Oil supply is down- demand is up - oil per barrel is down. Way down. 

My theory: People in the government or people connected to the government, or both, are shorting the stock. On paper the oil per barrel is low. "They" are providing a window of opportunity to short it, before the supply/demand law can react.

You have to remember stocks, futures, options, etc represent the "paper contract" of some underlying security. 

There is nothing inherently rational about how the price of a paper contract moves. If anyone could predict with 100%, 90%, or even 80% accuracy the price trajectory of a paper contract, they would be wealthier than Elon Musk.

Remember in early 2020, crude oil (forgot if it's Brent or WTO) went negative. Basically that's like saying: "Here, I'll PAY YOU to take this oil." 

Idiots like Cathie Wood said oil was dead and we would never see >$20/bbl again.

At the end of the day, it's just a large casino with the dealers (options and futures sellers) making "passive income." 

_________________

Worth noting stocks like OXY and Devon Energy started their rally in April 2025, long before Iran. Never trade narratives.

Vegas » 17 Jun 2026, 6:41 pm » wrote: ↑

17 Jun 2026, 6:41 pm

@LowIQTrash  you are knowledgeable about the stock market. Tell me your opinion about my theory.

It appears that the simple basic law of economics is being violated- supply and demand. 

Very simple law:

• Supply high - demand is low - prices are low

or the other direction

• Supply is low - demand is high - prices are high. 

Oil per barrel is down to $80/per barrel. But the supply is low , due to the Strait of Hormuz. It's been below 100 for two consecutive weeks. Now there is always a delay from crude oil prices to retail. Retail prices are the last in the chain to see the drop. Ok, fair enough. But on average it takes about a couple days delay. Sometimes a week. 

Since it has been 2 weeks, it should be moving like this:

• Oil supply is down - Demand is up- Oil per barrel is high.

But it's this:

• Oil supply is down- demand is up - oil per barrel is down. Way down. 

My theory: People in the government or people connected to the government, or both, are shorting the stock. On paper the oil per barrel is low. "They" are providing a window of opportunity to short it, before the supply/demand law can react.

AAA shows the national average at $3.99 this AM.  Nothing has really changed. The MOU is falling apart.  Bibi Bombed Lebanon again.

I think they oilgharcs jacked up gas prices on us.

It has to be demand is down. 

Vegas » 17 Jun 2026, 6:56 pm » wrote: ↑

17 Jun 2026, 6:56 pm

In accordance with the supply/demand, yes. 

Always stick to social interpretation as what humans can make of evolving in plain sight from what actually evolves in plain sight.
Actual evolving vs social interpretation of factual civilization evolving so far.

the who one chooses to socially become after birth isn't just an ancestor adapting since conception adopting SOCIAL CONSENSUS ANCESTRALLY PRACTICED EVERY ROTATION OF THE PLANET GONE BY IN life as specifically eternally changing form from their actual fertilize cell to the behavior performed daily here.

Accountability of time currently alive each heartbeat each ancestor had since conception until dead, be it miscarriage, abortion, birth defects, social misdirection cradle to grave.

EXTINCTION EVENT IS WHEN A BODY DOESN'T REPRODUCE ANOTHER GENERATION GAP CONTAINING THEIR CHROMOSOMES FORWARD SO FAR.

Free advice from an instinctive brain equally living in plain sight. Standing your ground as a we the people believe now isn't eternity, doesn't change how genetic outcomes exist as eternally separated now.

No matter how things change they evolve the same way constantly regardless universal location here now. SSDD.