In a Wall Street Journal op-ed published last week, S&P Global Vice Chairman and noted author Daniel Yergin lays out the reasons why hard rock mining will become the ultimate roadblock to all the net-zero dreams of the global elites.Yergin’s piece
begins with this paragraph:
“California
made a stunning decision last year — that by 2035 all new cars sold in the state must have at least 2½ times as much copper as conventional cars today. That’s not literally what the mandate said, of course, but it’s the practical effect of ordering all cars to be electric in the next 12 years. ‘Big Shovel’ will compete with ‘Big Oil’ as mining ramps up to supply the vast increase in a wide range of minerals that energy transition requires. But getting everything that will be needed will be tough.”
That’s right: the typical EV requires 2.5 times the copper in the typical gas-powered car. Multiplied by the estimated 1.446 billion autos on the road in 2022, and that comes to an enormous volume of copper. And that mined metal requirement doesn’t begin to tell the tale: EVs also require copious amounts of lithium, cobalt, antimony and an array of other critical and rare earth minerals to become a reality.But it’s not just EVs. Yergin notes in his very next paragraph that “An offshore wind project uses
nine times the minerals of a natural-gas-fired power plant of the same generating capacity.”Oh.
The same principle applies to solar arrays, too. The presence of all those critical and rare earth minerals, some of which are highly toxic, is why, like EV lithium-ion batteries, they can’t just be tossed into the local landfill when their useful life expires.Another big looming problem Yergin notes is the reality that these minerals aren’t evenly distributed across the globe. Two South American countries with highly unstable governments, Peru and Chile, currently produce 40% of the world’s copper. Even worse, fully 70% of the world’s cobalt is produced in the Republic of the Congo, where it is often produced in small, hand-dug mines that feature extremely dangerous conditions and use of child labor.Supply chains for these minerals are also a key issue. Yergin writes that 60% of the world’s lithium is currently processed in China, and that 47% of the world’s copper is smelted there. China and Mongolia are also home to large deposits of a variety of rare earth minerals, where their
mining operations use slave labor and have been widely documented to cause enormous environmental damage.