Why Is Biden Losing? It's the Economy, Stupid
Jeff Crouere | Apr 29, 2024
-------------------
The insatiable appetite for federal spending is a major reason inflation remains high and interest rates have not fallen. As noted by Jeff Cox of CNBC, this combination is toxic for the economy, as “shoppers are spending more than they’re taking in, a situation neither sustainable nor disinflationary.” He also observes that “consumers are dipping into savings to fund those purchases, creating a precarious scenario.”
This “precarious scenario” was verified on Friday with the release of the latest report by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. As shown in three of the last four months, the income of Americans did not keep pace with spending. Thus, the personal saving rate of Americans plummeted to
3.2% in March. In contrast, when President Donald Trump left office in January of 2021, the personal saving rate of Americans averaged
19.3%.
Last week, other troubling data was released, as it was reported that inflation in the first quarter of the year registered a scorching
3.7%, while the real GDP growth was only
1.6%.
These factors will not allow the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and give the nation’s economy the “soft landing” the Biden administration wanted. With high interest rates, it is no surprise that
credit delinquencies have reached their highest level in a decade.
None of these economic factors bode well for the future, in the view of E.J. Antoni, a research fellow at the Heritage Foundation. He believes “We have basically pulled forward trillions of dollars of economic growth by borrowing from the future, but that must be repaid at some point.”While the unemployment rate is low at
3.8%, most of the jobs that have been added are either in the
government or
part-time.
Overall, the Biden economic record is abysmal, especially compared to President Trump’s record. In his term, the unemployment rate started at
4.7% and dropped to
3.5% prior to the pandemic. When he left office, the unemployment rate was cut more than
50% from the COVID high.Trump also left office with low inflation and interest rates, a marked contrast to the economic situation today. Thus, it should be no surprise that the latest CNN poll shows President Trump with a healthy
49-43% lead over Biden. With Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and the third-party candidates included, Trump’s lead over Biden increased to nine percentage points,
42-33%.