Liberal Forum

Does this sound like anyone we know on this forum? I'll give you a hint. He is a cowardly narcissist with the IQ of a frog.


Definition: 

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias where people with low ability in a specific area tend to overestimate their competence, while those with high ability tend to underestimate it. Essentially, those who know the least are often the most confident, and those who know the most can be plagued by self-doubt. 

Vegas » 29 Jun 2025, 12:07 pm » wrote: ↑

29 Jun 2025, 12:07 pm

Does this sound like anyone we know on this forum? I'll give you a hint. He is a cowardly narcissist with the IQ of a frog.

Definition:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpoxwGxgzOU

you are making a "survivorship bias" fallacy. And **** you if you think I am going to define that for you.  Like I said, I am not your mother. Look it up. 

To give some backstory here, I was exposing Veghead's stupid article about his usual presidential rankings. He was using a fallacy that is called "survivorship bias." Now, I don't expect people to know offhand what that means. However, given how much Veghead brags that he has superior aptitude in stats...and math in general, there was no need for me to define the fallacy. He should already know since it's a common term in stats. So, what did he think it meant? He took it literally and thought it meant dead presidents. LOL! The bolded quote at the end proves how intellectually superior he is. Image   I am left with no choice, but to publicly embarrass him.  @Blackvegetable I will never let you live this gem down. 
 

Sounds a lot like this seeping cornhole...

Cannonpointer » 29 Jun 2025, 12:19 pm » wrote: ↑

29 Jun 2025, 12:19 pm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gpoxwGxgzOU

    There are actual real cases of this. You know those bogus martial arts teachers that show people being thrown around by the master without even touching them? Students actually pay for those lessons. A real martial arts teacher came in to challenge him in a sparring match. Guess who won? 
 

Blackvegetable » 29 Jun 2025, 12:21 pm » wrote: ↑

29 Jun 2025, 12:21 pm

Sounds a lot like this seeping cornhole...

You did it again. As always, you refuse to answer questions while demanding yours gets answered


Either A, B, C, or D.

Let me break this down for your dumb ***. You see the 4 options to the question? Every option includes your definition, but only one is an example of survivorship bias. Your definition was half assed. Like all of your content.

When a sample fails to reflect "mortality" in the population being examined.

or

"Sampling error"

Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?

A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors
 

Vegas » 29 Jun 2025, 12:23 pm » wrote: ↑

29 Jun 2025, 12:23 pm

    There are actual real cases of this. You know those bogus martial arts teachers that show people being thrown around by the master without even touching them? Students actually pay for those lessons. A real martial arts teacher came in to challenge him in a sparring match. Guess who won?

I am very well acquainted with that case.

What you jabberjaws on the internet are unaware of is that I am suing that guy for damages.   

And yes, I still stand by my Paisley Belts in Tai Qwan Wha, Tai Tar Do, and Yu Tu Fat.

Cannonpointer » 29 Jun 2025, 12:27 pm » wrote: ↑

29 Jun 2025, 12:27 pm

I am very well acquainted with that case.

What you jabberjaws on the internet are unaware of is that I am suing that guy for damages.   

And yes, I still stand by my Paisley Belts in Tai Qwan Wha, Tai Tar Do, and Yu Tu Fat.

Go get em.   

Vegas » 29 Jun 2025, 12:07 pm » wrote: ↑

29 Jun 2025, 12:07 pm

Does this sound like anyone we know on this forum? I'll give you a hint. He is a cowardly narcissist with the IQ of a frog.

Definition:

define cognitive bias....  
 

Vegas » 29 Jun 2025, 12:24 pm » wrote: ↑

29 Jun 2025, 12:24 pm

You did it again. As always, you refuse to answer questions while demanding yours gets answered

Either A, B, C, or D.

Let me break this down for your dumb ***. You see the 4 options to the question? Every option includes your definition, but only one is an example of survivorship bias. Your definition was half assed. Like all of your content.

or

Which scenario is an example of survivorship bias in evaluating business success?

A) Believing that reading business books increases revenue after finding many CEOs recommend them.
B) Concluding that most startups fail after analyzing bankrupt companies.
C) Thinking entrepreneurship is easy because most media profiles focus on successful founders.
D) Surveying customers to understand why they chose your product over competitors

Obama had a drunk communist for a father and a whore for a mother and he became a President.....I don't know what problems BV blames for his failures. 
 

RebelGator » 30 Jun 2025, 5:46 am » wrote: ↑

30 Jun 2025, 5:46 am

Obama had a drunk communist for a father and a whore for a mother and he became a President.....I don't know what problems BV blames for his failures.

His biggest problem is his mother. I have absolutely no doubt he was sexually attracted to her and at the very least masturbated with her in mind more than once. He carries a lot of resentment/embarassment on her behalf. Would not surprise me that they actually "did it" and the relationship is really aloof and awkward.
So he has a confusing mess as a base reference for all things social.
 

ROG62 » 30 Jun 2025, 4:44 am » wrote: ↑

30 Jun 2025, 4:44 am

define cognitive bias....

Oh God. Please don't get him started. 

Vegas » 30 Jun 2025, 12:55 pm » wrote: ↑

30 Jun 2025, 12:55 pm

Oh God. Please don't get him started.

I couldn't resist as I figured it'd light him right up...

 
 
 

Vegas » 30 Jun 2025, 12:55 pm » wrote: ↑

30 Jun 2025, 12:55 pm

Oh God. Please don't get him started.

 

Mine is no smooth function.. Personally I feel trapped in the Valley of Despair.. I think I made it past the dip (learning about Nihilism was a low point, stay away from there if you can) only to ride a roller coaster Richter scale seismic chart of confidence the more I learn. There are several valleys of withered confidence I have had to cross on my journey. 2025 is the year of the crap and everyone is just trying to stay Bee Gees Alive. Mt Stupid has a lot of residents on this rag who claim to be experts in their field.  I learned a long time ago anyone who says they are an expert isn't.

https://i.postimg.cc/pdQzFGj0/dunning-kruger-effect.jpg

https://youtu.be/nbFl42jAGJ8?si=o1a8gqvEx0cL_-Fy
 
 

Vegas » 30 Jun 2025, 12:55 pm » wrote: ↑

30 Jun 2025, 12:55 pm

Oh God. Please don't get him started.

If you know anyone who wants to start a fire to attract firefighters and kill them, please say something and drown that shyt before it happens. Also, if you can bring yourself to condemn anyone who assassinates politicians it would help. But you think beating cops is justified and a pardonable offense.

The dudes definitely had some MAGAnotic cognitive bias to justify the shyt they did. One will live in prison, the other one should be composted and fed to the pigs now.  But maybe not..  if his molecules got in the bacon.....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HUb_1rFWZag