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The next Israeli national election is scheduled for October 27, 2026. However, a snap election could occur sooner due to political instability.
Possible scenarios for an earlier election
Coalition stability: While the current government is stable on paper, coalition divisions, particularly regarding military service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox Jews, could trigger an early election.
Dissolving the Knesset: The governing coalition could lose its majority, or a significant number of members could defect, leading to a vote to dissolve the Knesset and trigger a new election.
Netanyahu's political calculus: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could call an early election if he believes his political position has improved and would secure a more favorable outcome than waiting for the scheduled 2026 date.
Recent political developments
Political maneuvering: Concerns about early elections have been prevalent, and some parties have recently threatened to leave the coalition.
Ongoing tensions: The ongoing war in Gaza and regional tensions, as well as an unresolved draft law for ultra-Orthodox military service, have been significant factors influencing Israel's political landscape.
Leadership challenges: The opposition, including figures like former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Opposition Leader Yair Lapid, continues to challenge the current government.
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