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Does Donald J tRumP DESERVE a 70% stock market CRASH??!!
Also I wouldn't trust AI on these matters. Some hotshot "AI app" for traders hit the market just this year and was lauded as some amazing product during the vertical rally from March to June 2026.Fuelman » 26 Jul 2026, 3:56 pm » wrote: ↑ So here is the AI consensus of experts reporting on the odds.
The current risk of a stock market crash is driven by a mix of extreme valuations, high oil prices, and uncertainty over artificial intelligence spending, though overall market probability estimates for a major 30%+ drop remain relatively low at around 8% to 10% annually.Key Risk FactorsStretched Valuations: The Shiller CAPE ratio has climbed near historic highs (around 42), approaching the peak levels seen during the 2000 dot-com bubble.AI and Tech Concentration: Massive capital expenditures on artificial intelligence infrastructure have led to crowded trades, leaving tech-heavy indexes like the Nasdaq vulnerable to sudden pullbacks or earnings misses.Inflation and Oil Spikes: Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven up oil prices, raising fears of sticky inflation and forcing the Federal Reserve to consider potential interest rate hikes.Historical Odds: Quantitative models and economic surveys generally place the baseline probability of an outright crash (a drop of 30% or more) in any given 12-month window at roughly 8% to 14%.
The black swan event will have to be something spectacular to derail the current advances. Let us know when ya figure it out.
They told traders to go all in on space names like AST Spacemobile, Intuitive Machines, etc.
Those names are down 30-70% since the June high. So their "AI" trash is highly questionable.